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Market situation & 2020/21 Outlook Cereals. Eric Willems Head of Sector Arable crops, sugar, fibre plants, animal feed. CEREAL WORLD BALANCE SHEET – IGC (23 MARCH). WORLD WHEAT BALANCE SHEET - IGC. Wheat export prices from 1/1/2007 onwards. US CBOT SRW wheat futures since 1/1/2010.

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market situation 2020 21 outlook cereals

Market situation & 2020/21 OutlookCereals

Eric Willems

Head of Sector

Arable crops, sugar, fibre plants, animal feed

eu intervention
EU intervention
  • Quantity available for the resale on the internal market in MY 2010/11 = 2.8 mio t
  • Quantities sold so far : 2.5 mio t
  • Quantities remaining: <0.3 mio t barley
  • Quantity available under the Most Deprived Programme in 2011 = 2.8 mio t
  • 882,000 t sold so far (>0.5 mio t in past week)
eu commitments 2010 2011 38 weeks
EU Commitments 2010/2011 (38 weeks)
  • Imports: 9.2 mio t (6.4 mio t in 2009/10; 8.7 mio t 2-years ago)
  • 1.7 mio t soft wheat (2.6 mio t),
  • 1.6 mio t durum wheat (1.7 mio t),
  • 5.2 mio t maize (2.0 mio t),
  • 520 000 t sorghum (4 000 t)
  • 25 000 t barley (91 000 t)
  • Exports: 21.7 miot (16.4 mio t last year; 22.8 mio t 2 years ago)
  • 15.9 mio t soft wheat flour inclusive (14.2 mio t),
  • 3.6 mio t barley (703 000 t)
  • 1.2 mio t durum wheat (492 000 t)
  • 806 000 t maize (868 000 t)
  • Net exporter: 12.5 mio t (10.0 mio t last y; 14.1 mio t 2 y ago)
cereals low yield growth keeps the sector growing
Cereals: (low) yield growth keeps the sector growing

EU-27 area, yield and production projections – 2020/21 vs. 2009/10 - %

cereals prices another blip or a new pattern
Cereals prices: another blip or a new pattern?

EU-27 domestic price projections – €/t