Presentation Transcript

1. GLOBAL CITIES Influence & Change to/from Asian Community “What is a city, but the people?” Coriolanus – Shakespeare - 1608 Gaëtan Siew CEO March 2013
2. Importance of Cities Drivers Development Pathways Urban World in 2025 Stress on Cities Lessons Key Points
3. Challenging World – Importance of Cities World – 600 Cities 600 Cities : Population > 0.75m Average City : 2.50 m 2012: 21 Mega-cities > 10.0 m 2025 : 29 Mega-cities > 10.0 m Top Urban growth: (Cn, In, US, Ni, Bd, Br) World 2050 = 9 bn 75% Urban – Now 50%++ Cities 66% world energy usage Cities 80% world emissions Belo Horizonte = 2.50 m
4. Challenging World – Importance of Cities Challenges Rapid Urban Growth Pressure on resources ( Energy/Water) Capacity to absorb Pollution/Waste Mumbai = 20.50 m
5. Challenging World – Importance of Cities Scale of intervention More effective to address resource management Water & Energy Air & Waste Management City level instead regional/national levels Opportunities New business models Ability to impact on maximum population Targeted Smart level of investment Luanda= 5.2 m
6. Challenging World – Importance of Cities Opportunities Cities impose own policies & regulations Socio-economic – Environmental Responsive to infrastructure development Mitigating effects of pollution Power and water shortages Climate change control Copenhagen = 2,6 m 2011 only electric /H² cars 2025 First carbon neutral capital
7. Drivers of City Development People Energy CREATIVE CITIES Diversity – Quality of Life HNWI : Expats Assets > 1 m $ 2011 = 11 m >>> 43 tn $
8. Drivers of City Development People Energy Huge Consumers Large Cities Prosperous Cities Sprawling Cities ENERGY USAGE FACTORS Climate Economic activity Geography Income disparities Population Urban Design Los Angeles = 17.80m City Sprawling Amsterdam = 2.3m Smart City initiative Energy efficient in EU Biomass /biogas from waste/sewage into heat and electricity. Amsterdam = 2.3 m
9. Drivers of City Development Six City Archetypes Marrakech = 1.06 m UNDEVELOPED URBAN CENTRES Marrakech, Belgrade, Panama UNDER-PRIVILEDGED CROWDED CITIES Lagos, Manila, Lima URBAN POWERHOUSES Hong Kong, Singapore, Bangalore
10. Drivers of City Development Six City Archetypes Buenos Aires = 14.64m PROSPEROUS COMMUNITIES Amsterdam,Copenhagen SPRAWLING METROPOLIS Paris, Houston DEVELOPING MEGA-HUBS Buenos Aires, Hangzhou
11. Development Pathways Six Pathways EMERGING NATIONS Industrialisation & Modernisation Slum Proliferation Urban Decline Transition to Megacity Controlled Urbanisation Late Stage Growth POPULATION & CONSUMPTION GROWTH by 2025 Manila = 20.65m
12. Development Pathways Six Pathways Houston = 6.22m
13. Urban World 2025 2010 - 2025 Chongqing= 32.0 m PROSPEROUS COMMUNITIES From 127 to 150 nos Especially Asian cities SPRAWLING METROPOLIS Up to 50 nos – Cities richer Mexico City = 21.2m
14. Urban World 2025 2010 - 2025 Bangalore = 8.43 m Dhaka= 15.41 m Bangkok = 8.28 m UNDER-PRIVILEDGED CROWDED CITIES 30 nos – Decreasing as Asia gets richer UNDEVELOPED URBAN CENTRES Fast developing & Unpredictable URBAN POWERHOUSES x 2++ 14 nos in China, India
15. Urban World 2025 2010 - 2025 660 Cities = 65% GDP >> 30 tn $ 440 E Cities = 47% GDP >> 23 tn $ 440 E Cities = Annual increase + 10 tn $ Can they all be fitted in that? FLOOR SPACE Cities >> +85% more = Austria 84 000 km² E Cities >> 44 000 km² / 80 tn $ 84 000 sq.km
16. Stresses on Cities UNIVERSAL Energy Price Adequate Infrastructure Investment Public Amenity FACTORS Climate Geography Economic Status Curitiba 1.3m ENERGY PRICE Higher demand Fiscal restructuring Emission pricing Renewable portfolio standards Fuel price increase *E –Cities ( Gov subsidy – Challenge in future) Top Green Cities Reyjavik 99.9% green electricity San Francisco Energy, green bldgs, transport, air/water quality Malmö 3rd largest wind energy park Vancouver Clean tech innovation, 90% renewable power Portland 25% public transport, bicycles Curitiba 70% land recycled – 1.5m trees Copenhagen 50% bicycles - world leader wind energy Stockholm 40% city = green spaces Hamburg Strong port and industrial policies Bogota Air quality, water supplies, 1200 urban spaces
17. Stresses on Cities UNIVERSAL Energy Price Adequate Infrastructure Investment Public Amenity ADEQUATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT End of life cycles : Cities of 60s & 70s Replacement costs *E-Cities : Finding ways to pay >> Challenge
18. Stresses on Cities UNIVERSAL Energy Price Adequate Infrastructure Investment Public Amenity PUBLIC AMENITY Public expectation >> Livability Better environmental standards Advanced solutions (Ex Low CO2 >> Coal) *Rich Cities: Opposition to infrastructure projects (Ex Wind farms, roads, airports etc) Noise – Visually- Pollution New York Hi Line
19. Stresses on Cities UNIVERSAL Energy Price Adequate Infrastructure Investment Public Amenity PUBLIC AMENITY Art A sense of belonging A sense of pride “When the city ceases to be a symbol of art and order, it acts in a negative fashion.” Lewis Mumford
20. Lessons? Cities = Epicentre of Human Living Policymakers plans = Keys to future success/failure
21. “What is a city but the people.” Coriolanus 1608 Shakespeare (UK) Shi Shei Obrigado Gratias Merci Spasiba Thank you Shoukran Gaëtan Siew CEO www.gsiew-gcli.org