Isaac KUSANE / Geert BORSTLAP AMESD / BDMS OVERVIEW OF SADC THEMATIC ACTION

1. Isaac KUSANE / Geert BORSTLAP AMESD / BDMS OVERVIEW OF SADC THEMATIC ACTION

2. Agenda SADC THEMA Services Agenda

3. What can you see from space ?

4. What can you see from space ?

5. What can you see from space ?

6. What can you see from space ?

7. What can you see from space ?

8. Intro: Information needs But Decision Makers needs geo-information: • Agriculture • Crop Condition • Harvest estimates • Food Security / Famine • Cattle Management • Grazing Conditions • Fire Management • Biomass reduction / Presriptive burns ? • Fire Breaks ? • Drought • Drinking Water • Floods • Fishing

9. Intro: Thematic Information Service Thematic Information Services will: • Convert geographic DATA into environmental INFORMATION • Bridge “Data Availability” towards “User Needs”

10. 1) Preparation: Definition SADC-THEMA : “Agricultural and Environmental Resource Management” REC • SADC Secretariat Participating countries • Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, South-Africa, Swaziland, Zambia, Zimbabwe • Welcome to Tanzania and Mozambique Regional Implementation Center • BDMS (Botswana Department of Meteorological Services) Partners • ARC, BCA, CSIR-MERAKA, SADC-DMC, SAC, SAWS, UB, UZ

11. 1) Preparation: EUMETCast - concept • What is EUMETCast? • A multi-service dissemination system based onstandard Digital Video Broadcast(DVB-S) technology, using commercial telecommunication satellites to multicast files (data and products) to a wide user community • Operated by EUMETSAT • Started as an “emergency / backup” solution

12. 2400 600+ Meteo-France 200 2400 150 50 50 +15 AMESD, 7 DevCoCast, 40 Meteo-France 6 DevCoCast EUMETCast - current FengYunCast - current Recent growth EUMETCast FengYunCast upgrade (finished 2010) 1) Preparation :GEONETCast – coverage & growth Image courtesy of EUMETSAT

13. 2) SADC THEMA Services: Overview

14. 3) Agricultural Service

15. 3) Agriculture Service : Users Key-Users • National Level : Ministries of Agriculture (MoA) • Get AMESD Station ! • Regional Level : SADC FANR Secondary Users • Regional and National Food Security Services • Farmer Associations • National Statistic Offices • Agrometeorological Departments • Agricultural Research Counsils • Disaster management Offices

16. 3) Agriculture Service : AMESD Work Plan Principle: • Improve and expand the current REWS systems from SADC-RRSU Allow agricultural remote sensing analysts: • To perform Crop Condition Monitoring • But also a view to forecasting yield and production scenarios The Agricultural service • Assist decision makers in answering the following questions: • What crops are where? • What is the crop condition? • What is the crop stage? • What is the likely yield?

17. 3) Agriculture Service : Service Activities: • Get Products >> Data Exploration • Analysis >> Drill down in anomalies • Report Service • Products via EUMETCast / FTP • Software (Processing Chains) • Training / Help Desk / Support / Forum Final Result: • Monthly report with traffic light system • Decadal updates

18. 3) Agricultural Service: Products Products: • Agriculture Mask, Crop Statistics Map, Crop Specific Maps • Current Rainfall Map • Cumulative Rainfall Map • Rainfall Estimates Compared with average [difference] • Current Temperature estimate Map • Vegetation Index Map (+difference) • C-NDVI graphs for zones of interest • Dry matter Productivity (+cumulative) • Current Water Requirements Satisfaction Index (WRSI) Map • Onset of Rains Maps + anomaly • Soil Moisture Index Estimates

19. 3) Examples from in-situ data • Example of Rainfall events in Zimbabwe during 2008-2009

20. Rainfall Anomaly Map for the 2008-2009 Season FullSADC Map Main maize areas 3) Example of RS data • Example of Tanzania Rainfall Anomaly Map

21. 3) Examples of graph • Example of Cumulative Rainfall Graph

22. 3) Examples of anomaly map • Example of Vegetation index Compared with long-term average

23. 3) Agricultural Service:Roles & Partners Thematic: • BDMS • Support of JRC-MARS, USGS-FEWSNET and ARC Production: • BDMS (at Regional Level) • MoA at National Level Reporting: • SADC FANR at Regional Level • MoA at National Level Capacity Building: • BCA (Botswana College of Agriculture) • Support of JRC-GEM, ITC & Thematic Partners

24. 4) Drought Service

25. 4) Drought Service : Users Key-Users • National Level : • Ministries of Agriculture (MoA) • Ministries of Environment (MoE) • Department of Water Affairs, Dept. Forestry and Rangeland, Department of Tourism and Wildlife, etc) • Regional Level : SADC FANR Secondary Users • District Councils • Weather Services • Civil Protection Agencies • Farming Communities • Disaster management Offices

26. 4) Drought Service: Existing Capacity Based upon Drought Monitoring System of ARC & BDMS.

27. 4) Drought Service : Service Activities: • Get Products >> Data Exploration • Own Open Source Software >> Integrate data rainfall Stations • Create Drought & Drought Outlook Maps • Report Service • Products via EUMETCast / FTP • Open-Source Software • Training / Help Desk / Support / Forum Final Result: • Monthly report • Decadal updates

28. 4) Drought Service : Products Vegetation performance Maps DP01: NDVI difference DP02: Long-term average NDVI DP03: Long-term average cumulative NDVI DP04: Long-term standard deviation of NDVI DP05: Long-term maximum of NDVI DP06: Long-term minimum of NDVI DP07: VCI DP08: SDVI DP09: PASG

29. 4) Drought Service : Products Rainfall Maps DP10: Total cumulative rainfall – monthly, seasonal so far DP11: Long-term average rainfall – Ten-daily DP12: Percentage of long-term average rainfall – Ten-daily or longer period Drought Maps/Graphs DP13: Drought risk map (Boolean type) DP14: Drought risk map (Graded type) DP15: Graphs – based on average value of summarizing polygon DP16: Graphs – Based on area within polygon where an index is lower than a specific cut-off value

30. 4) Drought Service: Roles & Partners Thematic: • ARC • BDMS Production: • Regional Level: BDMS • National Level: MoA and/or MoE Reporting: • Regional Level: SADC • National Level: MoA + MoE Capacity Building: • UZ (University of Zimbabwe) • Support of JRC-GEM, ITC & Thematic Partners

31. 5) Fire Service

32. 5) Fire Service: Users Key-Users • National Level : Ministries of Environment • Get AMESD Fire Station • Regional Level : SADC FANR Secondary Users • District Counsils • Ministries of Transport • Police and Fire Brigades • Weather Services (National Televsion) • Civil Protection Agencies • Farming Communities • Disaster Management Offices

33. 5) Fire Service: Existing Capacity AFIS: Advanced Fire Information System (AFIS) of CSIR (° 2004) • Early detection of active fires • Monitoring of existing fires • Fire Danger prediction • Burned area assessment Cell phone alert service Online mapping tool

34. 5) Fire Service : AMESD Work Plan Principle: • Improve and geographically expand the current AFIS system of CSIR Thematical side: • Integrate GLOBCOVER (and other) Landcover map • Integrate Google terrain map • SW-developments to improve AFIS Field Terminal • Integrate LRF in reporting Production Side: • SW-developments on AFIS Field Terminal • Systematic processing at CSIR Dissemination Side: • Use EUMETCast (DVB-RCS?)

35. 4) Fire Service : Service Principle: • Improve and geographically expand the current ARC and BDMS drought systems, make open-source package Thematical side: • Integrate RFE, make in-situ rainfall data optional • Integrate LRF to create a “drought outlook”-product Production Side: • Automate & make open-source • Deliver Drought Package on DVD • Embedding in BDMS production environment for Regional Reporting Dissemination Side: • Use EUMETCast Activities: • Get Products (15 min ... 4/d ... daily.....monthly) • Assess Fire Risk >> Warn People >> Communicate • Assess good/bad fires >> Act • Monitor & follow up dangerous fires >> Act • Burnt Area >> Report Service • Products via EUMETCast / FTP • Analyse, Assess & Act • Training / Help Desk / Support / Forum Final Result: • Preparedness / Fire Action Plan / Early Warning System • Report

36. Product Comments Active-Fires MODIS + MSG Active Fires FDI Fire Danger Indexes (2x) MODIS-BAE Burnt Area Estimates MODIS-721 MODIS 721 Band Combination 5) Fire Service : Products

37. 5) Fire Service:Roles & Partners Thematic: • CSIR • UB • BDMS (DFRR) Pre-Production: • Regional Level: CSIR Reporting: • Regional Level: BDMS • National Level: MoE Capacity Building: • UB (University of Botswana) • Support of JRC-GEM, ITC & Thematic Partners

38. 6) LRF Support Service

39. 6) LRF: AMESD Work Plan Intro • LRF has become mature • Not used in agricultural and environmental sector yet Principle: • Use existing LRF and integrate into 3 core-services Dissemination Side: • Use EUMETCast for distribution Crop LRF Drought Fire

40. 6) LRF: Products • 1, 3 and 6 monthly forecast • Updated every month • Products • Rainfall Forecast • Maximum Temparature Forecast • Minimum Temparature Forecast Example from SAWS

41. 6) LRF: Roles & Partners SAWS • Thematic • Support to Integration in core services • Capacity Building Thematic Partners of 3 Core Services • Integrate LRF in their outlooks

42. 7) Crosscutting activities: Capacity Building Principle: • Train the Trainer Concept • From “Standalone Training Material” to “Curriculum Development” • Collaborate with local Universities Training: • Training Package Preparation • Basic GIS & RS training (type: on-distance training) • SADC THEMA Service training (type: Regional) • SADC THEMA Service training (type: National) • EUMETCast Receiving Station Training • Curriculum Development (9 Universities already have shown interest)

43. 7) Crosscutting activities: Capacity Building

44. 7) Crosscutting activities: Capacity Building SADC THEMA Services training Logic

45. 7) Crosscutting activities: User Interaction Principle: • Networking: Stimulate all forms of collaboration • Via existing networks (FANR, SAFNet, ...) Work: • Yearly Regional workshops (3 in total, i.e. Kick-Off, Mid-Term and Final WS) • National workshops (2 per country, 18 in total

46. 7) Crosscutting activities: Data Access Principle: • All start with access to data: for Universities, MoA, MoE • Promote R&D for improving AMESD services, Facilitate validation • Rx: Build up extra Receiving Stations (Fire terminals) Work: • Datasets on 1TB Harddisk, delivered by SAC • DVB-RCS at SAC ? Datasets: • historical EUMETCast datasets (e.g. SPOT-VGT radio + NDVI archive) • Africover (UN FAO land cover) and Globcover • GeoCover (1980, 1990, 2000, 2006 Landsat Africa mosaics) • Country coverage of vector infrastructure databases • CBERS-2B (CCD): an ortho-rectified country-mosaic of HR (20m) data • SAC/C data

47. 8) Implementation Plan: Work Logic per WP WP7: User Interaction (WS, Web, …) Decision Makers WP6: Capacity Building (Reg + Nat) User WP5: Data Access (Rx + DD) Users (MoA, MoE, NMS, …) WP3: Validation Service WP1: Definition & Specification WP2: Development WP3: Integration WP4: Operation WP8: Management

48. 8) Implementation Plan: Work breakdown Schedule

49. 8) Implementation Plan: Timeline

50. 9) Implementation Plan: SADC THEMA versus other THEMA’s SADC THEMA is different from other THEMA’s: • Short Development cycle, long operational cycle • Upgrade of services at Mid-term • Opportunity to fine-tune • Collaboration with Universities • R&D towards the future (improving services) • Curriculum Development • Train skilled workforce for the future • On-Distance training • Data-Access: 1TB Disk • Receiving Station for MoA and MoE • Policy-dialogue Open Day @ every workshop