Complexity and U.S. National Preparedness. Stephen J. Krill Jr ., CEM, PMP, CFCP PhD student in Engineering Management with a focus in Crisis, Disaster and Risk Management, The George Washington University 13 th Annual Emergency Management Higher Education Conference, June 7-10, 2010.
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Stephen J. Krill Jr., CEM, PMP, CFCP
PhD student in Engineering Management with a focus in Crisis, Disaster and Risk Management, The George Washington University
13th Annual Emergency Management Higher Education Conference, June 7-10, 2010
Gunderson and Holling
Lorenz’ butterfly effect
The Drunkard’s Walk
Readiness to respond within hours
“Fighting the Last War” syndrome
Lack of integrated preparedness missions
Federalism – “Who is in charge?”
Collision of decision rights involving multiple players
Less emphasis on the unknown risks
Absence of a common preparedness doctrine
Part III: What Comes Next? complexity...
− Albert Einstein