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Advancements in Climate Tools and Research at the 37th Annual Meeting of AASC - July 2012

The 37th Annual Meeting of the American Association of State Climatologists (AASC) held on July 11, 2012, in Destin, FL, showcased key advancements in climate tools and research focusing on drought, agriculture, and climate education. Highlights included a new web layout integrating tools around themes, soil moisture modeling, and localized climate extremes. The meeting emphasized outreach efforts with state natural science museums, training videos, and climate education for professional development. The collaboration aimed to connect research outcomes to practical applications in forestry and agriculture.

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Advancements in Climate Tools and Research at the 37th Annual Meeting of AASC - July 2012

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  1. State Report: North Carolina Ryan Boyles 37th Annual Meeting American Association of State Climatologists July 11, 2012

  2. Highlights: Extension • Weekly drought calls • New web layout to integrate all tools around themes • New tools + training videos • Ag and crop disease • Fire weather – NFDRS on ECONet • Reservoir inflow forecasts • PINEMAP – climate impacts to production forestry • Renewed focus on science translation and delivery AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  3. Highlights: Research • Soil moisture modeling • High resolution model re-analysis • Localized Climate Extremes Index • Downscaling- geospatial wx generator • Climate Projections using historical station analogs AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  4. Highlights: Outreach • Large group outreach events w/ state natural science museum • 4 middle school interns • Climate education for professional development • Twitter AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  5. AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  6. Toward routine radar-based SPI John Nielsen-Gammon, Brent McRoberts (TAMU) DevNiyogi(Purdue) Rebecca Cumbie, John McGuire, Ryan Boyles (NCSU)

  7. What is it? • ~5km SPI using methods from TAMU • Gauge calibrated radar (MPE) • See McRoberts & N-G JAMC 2011 • Historical COOP data used to adjust MPE probability density function • COOP data spatially clustered using L-moments (see Hosking and Wallis) • Adjusted PDF used to generate SPI AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  8. INSERT TAMU IMAGE AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  9. INSERT OUR TX AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  10. JNGs House AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  11. INSERT NC AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  12. INSERT INDIANA AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  13. AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  14. INSERT NATIONAL AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  15. What’s coming? • Work out remaining bugs • Send out for review and feedback • Connect local SPI to field impacts • What SPI best matches crop health • Web services for all • Tools that can sit on your web page • THREDDS server • Feed to drought.gov and NIDIS AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

  16. Later… • Palmer, KBDI estimates using MPE • Grid-based SPI time series • Possible connections to seasonal forecasts • Probability of reaching critical SPI thresholds • Possible proposal to USDA to evaluate drought triggers • What’s the best drought indicator for crops in your state • AASC wide proposal? AASC - July 11, 2012 - Destin, FL

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