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WCRP and S2S NOAA, MD, 14 Feb M. Rixen, JPS

WCRP and S2S NOAA, MD, 14 Feb M. Rixen, JPS. Mission & Objectives. World Climate Research Programme supports climate-related decision making and adaptation planning by coordinating research required to improve climate predictions and understanding of human influence on climate

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WCRP and S2S NOAA, MD, 14 Feb M. Rixen, JPS

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  1. WCRP and S2SNOAA, MD, 14 FebM. Rixen, JPS

  2. Mission & Objectives World Climate Research Programme supports climate-related decision making and adaptation planning by coordinating research required to improve • climate predictions and • understanding of human influence on climate “for use in an increasing range of practical applications of direct relevance, benefit and value to society” (WCRP Strategic Framework 2005-2015).

  3. Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)

  4. S2S • Vision: seamless weather-climate services • Mission: improve forecast skill at intraseasonal range • Strategy: • International research collaboration • Common infrastructure and information sharing

  5. Priorities • Need to build up the momentum generated by the conference and engage community • 5 sub-projects: objectives, timetable, expected outputs, organization and coordination • Systematic errors seems to be a major stumbling block to improve S2S predictions significantly: low hanging fruits? Maritime Continent? Atmospheric model? Coupling? • Running and archiving models will not be enough: need dedicated efforts on analyzing problems and diagnosing causes: this goes beyond T or P metrics • Limit of deterministic models & (statistical) MM approaches: are we exploring this enough?

  6. Field experiment/YMC • Need to analyze pros/cons: • What can be exploited from existing databases? • Galvanizing community around a focused and exciting challenge • Priorities: area? processes? • Critical mass of observations? • Return on investment? Alternatives? • Informal discussions with ONR seem positive

  7. Summer school • Synergies with WGSIP? • Focus on LDCs/Africa? • Funding: Future Earth, GFCS, etc

  8. Thank you for your attention!

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