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Understand the competitive constraint test logic and recommended ECI thresholds for successful market operations. Explore NPRR520 and benchmark CSCs for effective evaluation.
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Recommended Threshold ECI for SCED Competitive Constraint Test April 12, 2013
The Constraint Competitiveness Test (CCT) • Attempts to implement the CCT logic have not been successful since the market opened. • Because of the difficulties with the CCT, prior to nodal the 2010 zonal CSCs and CREs were deemed competitive by default. Indeed, the Board passed a motion in Sept. 2012 to “restore the zonal 2010 designated CSCs and CREs as the 2013 Competitive Constraints; and directed TAC to study and develop alternatives to improve the Constraints Competitiveness Tests” • NPRR520 is the result of the Board motion and appears to be a good step forward. • Now the question is what are the proper values for the variables in NPRR520, particularly the ECI threshold.
What is the Proper Value for the ECI Threshold Value? • There is no “bright line” for the proper ECI threshold value because the market has always deemed the CSCs and CREs as competitive, everything else was deemed non-competitive. • Even if the historical CCT language had been implemented, there are different values for the import side ECI, depending on the tenor of the test. • Long-Term CCT – ECI of 2,000 or less is competitive • Monthly CCT - ECI of 2,500 or less is competitive • Daily CCT - ECI of 2,500 or less is competitive • The data provided recently by ERCOT, plus the market’s history of solving CSCs and CREs competitively, indicates an ECI of 2,500 should be the initial value for NPRR520.
North – Houston CSC as a Benchmark • North to Houston has been a CSC (i.e., competitive constraint) since 2004. • Almost $200M of congestion on North to Houston in the zonal market. • NPRR 520 methodology shows an ECI of 2,369 for North to Houston. • North to Houston CSC is a good benchmark for the ECI threshold evaluation. • 2,500 is recommended as the proper ECI threshold value.
West – North CSC as a Benchmark • West to North has been a CSC since Zonal Market open in 2002. • $137M of congestion on West to North in the zonal market. • NPRR 520 methodology shows an ECI of 2,187 for North to Houston. • West to North CSC is a good benchmark for the ECI threshold evaluation.