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Canola Council of Canada March 21, 2007 Westin Bear Mountain Victoria

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Oil Prices: Key To Biodiesel Profitability “It ain’t right, but it’s true!” James L. Williams WTRG Economics. Canola Council of Canada March 21, 2007 Westin Bear Mountain Victoria. Market Linkage Biodiesel Diesel Heating Oil Crude Oil. Food or Fuel Historical Precedence

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Oil Prices: Key To Biodiesel Profitability“It ain’t right, but it’s true!” James L. WilliamsWTRG Economics

Canola Council of CanadaMarch 21, 2007

Westin Bear Mountain Victoria

slide2
Market Linkage
    • Biodiesel
    • Diesel
    • Heating Oil
    • Crude Oil
slide3
Food or Fuel
    • Historical Precedence
      • Cowboys Fed Their Horses
    • Current issue
      • Mike’s decision
slide5
Factors in Oil Prices
    • Production (Economy & Policy)
    • Consumption (Economy & Policy)
    • Stocks
    • Production Capacity
politics geopolitics nature
Politics, Geopolitics & Nature
  • Supply Interruptions
    • Wars
    • Natural disasters
  • Consumer Policies
    • Taxes
    • CAFE
    • Import duties / restrictions
    • Price controls
  • Producer / OPEC Policies
    • Quotas
    • Embargos
    • Taxes
prices have little impact on short term consumption government policy and the economy dominate
Prices have little impact on short term consumption.Government policy and the economy dominate.
slide22
Iraq / Iran War

Revolution

slide23
CoalitionInvades

Kuwait InvadedGulf War

Iraq / Iran War

slide25
SwingProducer

Iraq / Iran War

slide26
Historically Oil Price Inversely Related to Stocks

Inventory Price Relationship went off track in the last 3-4 years

slide35
Future
    • Excess Production Capacity
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Russia
    • China
    • Venezuela
    • Recession
    • Alternate fuels
    • Conservation
slide36
Product Markets
    • Gasoline
      • MTBE to Ethanol
    • Distillates
      • Heating Oil
      • Diesel
        • Ultra Low Sulfur
slide45
Risk
    • Capacity
    • Russia
    • Mexico
    • Iran
    • Nigeria
    • Iraq
    • Venezuela
    • Hurricanes
    • Economy
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