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SOCIAL TRENDS AND THE FUTURE

SOCIAL TRENDS AND THE FUTURE. Population Growth, Globalization, and Social Reorganization. DEMOGRAPHY. The study of population trends Scientifically Organized Statistical Analysis Data Sources United States Census General Social Survey (GSS). Early Demography. Malthus

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SOCIAL TRENDS AND THE FUTURE

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  1. SOCIAL TRENDS AND THE FUTURE Population Growth, Globalization, and Social Reorganization

  2. DEMOGRAPHY • The study of population trends • Scientifically Organized • Statistical Analysis • Data Sources • United States Census • General Social Survey (GSS)

  3. Early Demography • Malthus • Theorized that population would grow beyond level of sustainability • Marx • Theorized that economic systems would manage population growth

  4. MODERN DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS • EVEN ADJUSTMENT • OVERSHOOT • OVERSHOOT OSCILLATION • OVERSHOOT COLLAPSE

  5. CHALLENGES OF THE FUTURE • FORCES OF GLOBALIZATION vs. NON-GLOBAL NORMS • LEGACY OF COLONIALISM

  6. DIVISION OF GLOBAL SOCIETY • FIRST WORLD (CORE) • SECOND WORLD (SEMI-PERIPHERY) • THIRD WORLD (PERIPHERY)

  7. WEALTH vs. RESOURCES • FIRST WORLD • INDUSTRIALIZED WEALTH, STRETCHED RESOURCES • SECOND WORLD • INDUSTRIALIZED WEALTH, ADEQUATE RESOURCES (NOW, BUT NOT IN THE FUTURE) • THIRD WORLD • LITTLE INDUSTRIALIZED WEALTH, EXCESS RESOURCES

  8. GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE • “HAVES” vs. “HAVE-NOTS • MAINTENANCE OF EXCESS CONSUMPTION BASED ON NEO-COLONIALISM • WIDENING FINANCIAL GAPS • INCREASINGLY PROBLEMATIC IMBALANCES IN BOTH SOCIAL AND PHYSICAL HEALTH

  9. SOCIOLOGICAL IMAGINATION • WHAT IS CURRENT STRUCTURE? • WHAT IS HISTORICAL RECORD? • WHAT TYPE OF MEN ARE IN CHARGE?

  10. THREE TYPES OF MEN • THOSE WITH POWER AND AWARENESS OF POTENTIAL AND CONSEQUENCES • THOSE WHOSE ACTIONS HAVE CONSEQUENCES BUT ARE UNAWARE • THOSE WITHOUT POWER; CONFINED TO EVERYDAY MILIEUX

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