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Mathematics Probability: Monty Hall

FACULTY OF EDUCATION. Department of Curriculum and Pedagogy. Mathematics Probability: Monty Hall. Science and Mathematics Education Research Group. Supported by UBC Teaching and Learning Enhancement Fund 2012-2013. Monty Hall Problem. Question Title. Question Title. Monty Hall Problem I.

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Mathematics Probability: Monty Hall

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  1. FACULTY OF EDUCATION Department of Curriculum and Pedagogy MathematicsProbability: Monty Hall Science and Mathematics Education Research Group Supported by UBC Teaching and Learning Enhancement Fund 2012-2013

  2. Monty Hall Problem Question Title Question Title

  3. Monty Hall Problem I Question Title Question Title There are three doors in front of you. Behind one door there is a prize. Behind the two other doors, there is nothing. What are the chances that you will pick the door with the prize? • 1/6 • 1/3 • 1/2 • 2/3 • None of the above

  4. Solution Comments Comments Answer: B Justification: There are three doors and one prize, so the chance of picking the prize is one in three.

  5. Monty Hall Problem II Question Title Question Title There are three doors in front of you. Behind one door there is a prize. Behind the two other doors, there is nothing. What are the chances that you will pick a door with nothing? • 1/6 • 1/3 • 1/2 • 2/3 • None of the above

  6. Solution Comments Comments Answer: D Justification: There are three doors and two doors with nothing. Therefore there is a 2/3 chance of getting nothing. Alternatively, there is a 1/3 chance of getting the prize, so there is 1-1/3=2/3 chance of getting nothing.

  7. Monty Hall Problem III Question Title Question Title There are three doors in front of you. Behind one door there is a prize. Behind the two other doors, there is nothing. You select a door. A door with nothing behind it is opened. What are the chances that you get the prize? • 1/6 • 1/3 • 1/2 • 2/3 • None of the above

  8. Solution Comments Comments Answer: B Justification: This is the same as question 1 except a door is opened. Opening the door does not affect the probability that was determined in the past.

  9. Monty Hall Problem IV Question Title Question Title There are three doors in front of you. Behind one door there is a prize. Behind the two other doors, there is nothing. You select a door. A door with nothing behind it is opened. What are the chances that you get nothing? Note that the door opened is completely arbitrary, and this image only serves one possibility. • 1/6 • 1/3 • 1/2 • 2/3 • None of the above

  10. Solution Comments Comments Answer: D Justification: Again, another empty door opening does not effect the probability determined in the past, so this question is fundamentally the same as question 2.

  11. Monty Hall Problem V Question Title Question Title There are three doors in front of you. Behind one door there is a prize. Behind the two other doors, there is nothing. You select a door. A door with nothing behind it is opened. If you switch to the other remaining door, what are the chances that you get the prize? Note that the door opened is completely arbitrary, and this image only serves one possibility. • 1/6 • 1/3 • 1/2 • 2/3 • None of the above

  12. Solution Comments Comments Answer: D Justification: This is a direct result of question 4. Knowing that if you chose nothing, the remaining door must be the prize since the other door with nothing was opened, and knowing that the chances of picking nothing at first is 2/3, the chances of the remaining door having the prize is also 2/3.

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