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Activities till TIF 2012. IDEA Project Transport dialogue and interoperability between the EU and its neighbouring countries and Central Asian countries Project funded by European Union DG DEVCO Ashraf Hamed IDEA Project. Milan, 08 June 2012. TRACECA Route Attractiveness indeX (TRAX).
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Activities till TIF 2012 IDEA Project Transport dialogue and interoperability between the EU and its neighbouring countries and Central Asian countries Project funded by European Union DG DEVCO AshrafHamed IDEA Project Milan, 08 June 2012
Future development of TRAX TRAX will be further development to Intermodal Index TRAX by including the railway born transport links along the TRACECA routes and the Trans-Russian routes. Intermodal Index Road Index Has been developed in 2010 and will be updated in 2011 Rail Index Will be developed in 2011 For intermodal index calculation will be applied a single methodological approach for all its constituent parts: road and rail transport indexes
Calculation Equations Route Stretch’s Index = F(Ci x αc + TT i x Vt x αt + Ri x αr + Sr x αs ) Route Node’s Index = F (Cij x αc + TTij x Vt x αt + Rij x αr) Where as : Ci = Observed Transport cost on Stretch i α c/t/r/s = Weight of costs / time / reliability / Security in the route choice decision making, obtained from the freight operators interviews TTi = Observed Average Transport time on Stretch i Vt = Value of Time for freight transport per cargo Sr = Perceived security and safety of Cargo in specific Country *50 % Point in statistics; means 50 % of data mass are below and 50 % above this point Index is adjsted on KM based for comparison reasons i=1….N (N stretches in total) J=1…M (M stops in total)
TRAX routes Trans Russian Route Trans Caucasus Route Trans Turkey / Iran Route 5
RAIL TRAX TRAX illustrates the attractiveness of a route from the perspective of transport operators: 2010: Road / Martime TRAX methodology and calculation 2011: Inter-Modal TRAX by adding Rail born transport The TRAX for rail transport will be calculated in analogy to Road/Maritime TRAX, TIME COST RELIABILITY SAFETY The weighing of the criteria must also reflect the priorities and weights considered by the transport operators
RAIL TRAX DATA COLLECTION • (1) ROAD born information through IRU drivers’ Journals • RAIL information through three sources • Questionnaire survey and Interviews with the national railway administrations • Freight Forwarders - to provide national data on individual countries on route lines, tariff scale, costs and time on stretches and nodes • Freight ForwardersInterviews to obtain real data of real shipments on particular routes
RAIL TRAX Integrated approach to data collection at the national and international level • Each stretch or node gets three types of assessment: • In terms of national railway administration • In terms of national rail transport operator / freight forwarders • In terms of international rail transport operator / freight forwarders. Data collection, definition of criteria weights, formation and segmentation of the route will be made in cooperation with transport companies and operators by questionnaires and interviews.
2011 - Intermodal Index TENTATIVE WORKING PLAN
Cooperation with the World Bank The world Bank is setting a unified approach for PERFORMANCE OF LAND TRANSPORT CORRIDORS LINKING EUROPE AND ASIA THROUGH CENTRAL ASIA The world Bank has expressed its interest in the TRACECA tools (GIS / Model and TRAX) TRAX methodology will be added to the analysis and adopted as the leading method Exchange of information on Driver’s Journals and Rail information Establish work group with World Bank team to adopt TRACECA methodology and improvements (Partnering with IRU). First meeting is scheduled June 27, in DC.
TRAINING APPROACH TRAINEES APPROACH TRACECA Transport Forecast model List of nominees per country Trainees Profile Work scope and position Linguistic capabilities Logistics Grouping Maximum Number MON - FRI TRACECA Appraisal Tool TRACECA Investment Manual List of Participants / Location E-Learning Platform
Methods of Delivery Starting Mondays with arrival of the participants and ending on Friday Training will be held in English with Russian translation where necessary. For modeling Deploying local tutors will ensure the understanding quality and close supervision for non-English speakers So far we secured trainers from Kazakhstan and Turkey. The local trainers will receive a special training prior to the course start (if necessary) Hands on training with computers with VISUM For appraisal Each of the 4 appraisal training sessions, the content will be tailored and derived from the countries’ requirements. The number of attendees will be approx. 15 participants. All training focus on interactive work with TRACECA tools A certificate of attendance will be issued to candidates who attended 100% of the course hours. Additional (Continuing Education) – E-IDEA
Model Training Training sessions will cover the following topics Introduction into transportation planning fundamentals; Using the VISUM Software, understanding VISUM and its basic functions; Working with the TRACECA model (updating input data / understanding results / adding new infrastructure / understanding VISUM outputs / export of data); Towards a national model E-learning (e-IDEA) Use of TRT / Dornier IDEA e-learning platform It will hold the training sessions, hand outs and excercises Secured login for users Local tutors for support local tutors will be a reference point for the trainees to come back with questions.
Status of the Model On 9th/10th December 2010, an Experts Group Meeting. Agreement that active cooperation is needed from the side of the TRACECA countries in order to improve the base forecast with reference to planned infrastructures A revised draft of the TRACECA IDEA Freight Model Development Report has been delivered, including the following updates Detailed description of the forecast modelling approach inclusive of the used forecast land use data, forecast assumptions and infrastructure measures; Presentation of generated forecast demand and analysis of the assignment results with a comparison to the base year model results All countries have received a VISUM license key, to work with the model as test for three months. Also an updated model Update the model needs Future networks, work is required from your experts Questionnaire was sent and only 2 countries replied. No feed back was received on the socio-economic data. On-call Meeting of the experts’ group in Kiev was cancelled Experts’ group will convene again after training Conversion of the VISUM license
Required Action Confirm the participants of your country. A reminder will be sent by IDEA. Brief trainees that they will be the point for providing information for the investment projects, for this cycles and next years. They are requested to obtain the update data for the model and provide this information to the member of the experts’ group meeting They must provide plausibility check for the model results PS to hand in the network license PS is to collect from every country the name and responsible person for the new VISUM license
Appraisal Training Part 1 Cost benefit analysis and socio-economic feasibility Training sessions will cover the following topics Scope of cost benefits analysis Data needs Steps in costs benefit analysis Basic calculations User benefits Producer benefits Performance indicators Transport externalities what they are how to measure them Distribution of costs and benefits and cross border projects Transport appraisal optimism and risk analysisFrom economic and financial appraisal
Appraisal Training Part 2 Project development and financing Training sessions will cover the following topics Frameworks for the provision and financing of transport infrastructure Forms of private sector participation Sources of financing Risk sharing schemes in the different procurement models Risk allocation strategies Funding of infrastructure Methods and tools for project development Infrastructure procurement from the view of different stakeholders
Appraisal Training The training will make large use of case studies to underline the theoretical background and to provide evidence of the different issues and steps in the appraisal Training will be divided in sessions, each one approximately of half a day and group work will be organised at the end of each session Case studies will cover different transport modes, road, rail, ports, intermodal centres Participants will be requested to carry out exercises and to organise discussions e learning is not foreseen
Required actions All countries received training on web content Countries’ Web sites are inhomogeneous. Some are dense and other have scares information. Minimum content should be defined by the PS Route and border crossing information must be added to the web site. This is what the transport industry misses on TRACECA route. Web content on the site must be optimized for the transport industry as target audience of the site. News on the web site must be like news. PS staff shall receive training based on the EU communication training methodology.