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Damien J. Gaul Natural Gas Division

Energy Information Administration. Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government. The Changing Face of North American LNG. Damien J. Gaul Natural Gas Division. New York Energy Forum 2008 February 5, 2008 New York, New York. Summary. 1. Review of Current Trends

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Damien J. Gaul Natural Gas Division

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  1. Energy Information Administration Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government The Changing Face of North American LNG Damien J. Gaul Natural Gas Division New York Energy Forum 2008 February 5, 2008 New York, New York

  2. Summary 1. Review of Current Trends 2. Natural Gas Outlook to 2030 3. Natural Gas Import Outlook

  3. Current U.S. LNG Facilities Consuming West Consuming East . . . . . . . 4 4 . 4 . . 4 . 4 4 4 4 . 4 . 4 4 4 . . . ) Everett . . . . 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 . . 4 4 4 4 . . . ) . . . . . 4 Northeast Gateway . . . 4 4 . . 4 4 . 4 4 . ) Cove Point . . 4 . . . . . 4 . . . . . ! 4 4 4 . . 4 4 . . . . 4 ) . . Elba Island ! ) ) Marine Terminal – Export (1) Marine Terminal – Import (6) Storage (with liquefaction) (57) Storage (without liquefaction) (39) Stranded Utility (5) Vehicular Fuel (2) Nitrogen Rejection unit (5) Lake Charles Gulf Gateway ) : : Producing Region . Kenai 4 ! Source: Energy Information Administration

  4. Current U.S. LNG Import Terminals Everett, Massachusetts 3.4 Bcf Storage Capacity Regasification Capacity: Peak: 1.035 Bcf per day Baseload: 715 MMcf per day Cove Point, Maryland 7.8 Bcf Storage Capacity Regasification Capacity: Peak: 1.0 Bcf per day Baseload: 750 MMcf per day Massachusetts, Offshore Gulf Gateway Energy Bridge Regasification Capacity: Peak: 600 MMcf per day Baseload: 500 MMcf per day Elba Island, Georgia 7.3 Bcf Storage Capacity Regasification Capacity: Peak: 1.2 Bcf per day Baseload: 820 MMcf per day Lake Charles, Louisiana 9.0 Bcf Storage Capacity Regasification Capacity: Peak: 2.1 Bcf per day Baseload: 1.8 Bcf per day Gulf of Mexico, Offshore Gulf Gateway Energy Bridge Regasification Capacity: Peak: 690 MMcf per day Baseload: 500 MMcf per day Source: Energy Information Administration

  5. U.S. LNG Imports by Country, 1992-2007(Billion cubic feet) Equatorial Guinea Egypt Trinidad and Tobago Nigeria Other Algeria Source: Energy Information Administration, based on data from the Office of Fossil Energy, U.S. Dept. of Energy

  6. LNG Imports by Terminal, 2007(Billion cubic feet) Source: Energy Information Administration

  7. Overall Natural Gas Outlook to 2030

  8. World Oil Price Projections, AEO2007 and AEO2008 Cases 2006 dollars per barrel History Projection High Price Reference Low Price 8 Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008

  9. U.S Natural Gas Wellhead Prices, 1970-2030 2006 dollars per thousand cubic feet History Projection 9 Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008

  10. U.S. Consumption by Sector, 1990-2030 (Trillion cubic feet) History Projections Industrial* Electric Power Residential Commercial Transportation** * Includes lease and plant fuel ** Includes pipeline fuel Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008

  11. U.S. Consumption by Sector, AEO2007 and AEO2008 Cases Trillion cubic feet 26.3 26.1 23.2 23.4 24.0 24.1 21.8 Transportation Electric Power Industrial Commercial Residential 2010 2020 2030 11 Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlooks 2007-2008

  12. Major Sources of Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supply, 2005-2030 (Trillion cubic feet) Growth in Non-associated unconventional Growth in Lower 48 offshore Growth in Alaskan production Growth in LNG imports Base production (all sources) Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008

  13. Natural Gas Import Outlook

  14. U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (Trillion cubic feet) History Projections Consumption 15% Net Imports 16% Production Natural Gas Net Imports, 2006 and 2030 (Trillion cubic feet) Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008

  15. Net pipeline and LNG imports, AEO2007 and AEO2008 Cases trillion cubic feet History Projection AEO2007 Pipeline AEO2008 AEO2007 LNG AEO2008 15 Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlooks 2007-2008

  16. U.S. Monthly Consumption, Production and Net Imports Consumption Net Imports Projection Production Source: Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook, January 2008.

  17. U.S. Import Terminal Capacity(Trillion cubic feet) Historic Projected Offshore Gulf Elba Island, GA Cove Point, MD Lake Charles, LA Everett, MA Source: Energy Information Administration

  18. U.S. Import Terminal Capacity, 2003-2010 Projected Historic Golden Pass Cameron LNG Sabine Pass LNG Northeast Gateway Freeport LNG Existing Terminals Source: Energy Information Administration

  19. North American LNG Terminals Existing, Under Construction, and Approved as of February 1, 2008 Existing: 7.0 Bcfd A. Everett, MA : 1.0 Bcfd B. Cove Point, MD : 1.0 Bcfd C. Elba Island, GA : 1.2 Bcfd D. Lake Charles, LA : 2.1 Bcfd E. Gulf Gateway Energy Bridge: 0.5 Bcfd F. Altamira, Tamulipas, Mexico: 0.7 Bcfd G. Northeast Gateway Energy Bridge: 0.5 Bcfd Total: 7.0 Bcfd 2.56 Tcf/yr New Capacity Under Construction: 11.7 Bcfd B. Cove Point, MD, expansion: 0.8 Bcfd C. Elba Island, GA, expansion: 0.9 Bcfd 1. Freeport, TX, U.S. : 1.5 Bcfd 2. Sabine, LA, U.S. : 2.6 Bcfd 3. Hackberry, LA, U.S. : 1.5 Bcfd 4. Sabine, TX, U.S. : 2.0 Bcfd 5. St. John, NB, Canada : 1.0 Bcfd 6. Baja California, Mexico : 1.0 Bcfd 7. Offshore Boston, MA, U.S.: 0.4 Bcfd Total: 11.7 Bcfd 4.3 Tcf/yr Approved Projects (and still active): 21.6 Bcfd 1. Freeport, TX, expansion 2.5 Bcfd 2. Sabine Pass, LA, expansion 1.4 Bcfd 3. Hackberry, LA, expansion 1.2 Bcfd 8. Corpus Christi, TX, U.S.: 2.6 Bcfd 9. Corpus Christi, TX, U.S. : 1.1 Bcfd 10. Fall River, MA, U.S. : 0.8 Bcfd 11 Corpus Christi, TX, U.S.: 1.0 Bcfd 12. Logan Township, NJ, U.S: 1.2 Bcfd 13. Port Arthur, TX, U.S.: 3.0 Bcfd 14. Pascagoula, MS, U.S.: 1.5 Bcfd 15. Pascagoula, MS, U.S.: 1.3 Bcfd 16. Port Lavaca, TX, U.S.: 1.0 Bcfd 16. Offshore Louisiana, U.S.: 1.0 Bcfd 17. Kitimat, BC, Canada: 1.0 Bcfd 18. Riviere-du-Loup, QC, Canada: 0.5 Bcfd 19. Quebec City, QC, Canada: 0.5 Bcfd Total: 21.6 Bcfd 7.9 Tcf/yr 17 18 19 5 10 G A 7 12 B C 3 6 D 14 2 1 4 15 8 13 E 16 7 11 9 Existing Under Construction Approved F Source: FERC Office of Energy Projects

  20. U.S. LNG Imports, 1990-2030(Trillion cubic feet) History Projections New Terminals Existing Terminals Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008

  21. Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2008, February 2008 International Energy Outlook 2007, June 2007, next release May 2008 Examples of Special Analyses “Economic Effects of High Oil Prices,” Annual Energy Outlook 2006 Analysis of Oil and Gas Production in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, March 2004 The Global Liquefied Natural Gas Market: Status and Outlook, December 2003 “Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case,” Annual Energy Outlook 2005 www.eia.doe.gov Damien Gaul Damien.Gaul@eia.doe.gov

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