1 / 15

Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century?

Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century?. Mat ze/Carsten March 2015. Project: “Concept for Adaptation t o Climate Change in the State Capital of Potsdam” City applies, BMU pays, we do it together with RD4 (Fritz) and 2 Potsdam based engineering offices (LUP, RegioFutur)

bmarshal
Download Presentation

Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century?

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Bad weather in Potsdam in the mid of the 21th century? Matze/Carsten March 2015

  2. Project: “Concept for Adaptation to Climate Change in the State Capital of Potsdam” City applies, BMU pays, we do it together with RD4 (Fritz) and 2 Potsdam based engineering offices (LUP, RegioFutur) Suggestions for adaptation measures Urban climate change impacts Climate Change projections for Potsdam

  3. Projections: Statistical (i.p. resampling), e.g. STARS Dynamic (physical mechanisms), e.g. CORDEX contributers

  4. Wechsung&Wechsung(2015); Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4220

  5. Wechsung&Wechsung(2015); Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4220

  6. Wechsung&Wechsung(2015); Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4220

  7. CORDEX Europe

  8. Analysis of CORDEX results. Example: annual mean of daily max. temperature 12 GCM/RCM combinations

  9. Annual precipitation Observed annual precipitation Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085

  10. Total runoff per year Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085

  11. Total runoff per year

  12. Heavy rain days (Prc > 16mm) per year Observed heavy rain days Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085 advective + convective rain: convective rain:

  13. Hot days (Tmax > 30°C) per year Observed hot days Relative frequency for projected change [% comp. to 1970-2000] for 2045 (blue) and 2085 (red). Dashed lines: single model results for 2045 Dotted lines: single model results for 2085

More Related