Decision Analysis. Prof. Carl Thompson firstname.lastname@example.org. What is decision analysis?. Based on a normative theory of decision making: subjective expected utility theory (SEUT) Assumes Decision process logical and rational
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Prof. Carl Thompson
“Decision analysis is a systematic, explicit, quantitative way of making decisions in health care that can … lead to both enhanced communication about clinical controversies and better decisions.” (Hunink, Glasziou et al, 2001, p.3.)
Elizabeth Harding: 78 year old lady with atrial fibrillation (AF), currently not on any anticoagulation therapy.
The decision problem: AF is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolic stroke. Treatment with anticoagulation therapy can reduce the risk of stroke, however there is an associated risk of bleeding. If prescribed Warfarin, then regular monitoring of INR is needed. If prescribed aspirin, there is a risk of gastrointestinal side effects.