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Adoption of Rainwater Management Practice in the Blue Nile. A Description and Analysis of the IFPRI Farm Survey on Climate Change. Noémie Defourny Ms. in Economics , UCL ( Belgium ). Internship Timeline. ILRI: Static Bio Physical Household level Model
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A Description and Analysis of
the IFPRI Farm Survey on Climate Change
Ms. in Economics , UCL (Belgium)
Static Bio PhysicalHouseholdlevel Model
Cikeda (Cirad) - IAT (CSIRO)
Solutions Feasability in Boneya
NBDC Data set 2005-IFPRI
Objective: to improve the resilience of rural livelihoods in the Ethiopian highlands through a landscape approach to rainwater management.
70 to 90% of the all water used in the region.
- to improve water productivity.
To better target or ‘match’ promising technologies (or whole strategies) with particular environments.
N3 : on Targeting and scaling out
Objective : creating feasibility maps for rainwater management strategies that include socio-economic constraints.
One approach : Mapping Willingness of Adoption
Define adoption rules
Based on census data (=data for the whole basin),
simulate “virtual farmers”
Run adoption rules on the simulated farmer
Willingness to adopt
Geo-referenced (GPS coordinates)
1,000 households (6,168 individuals)
3 Regions: Fogera, Jeldu and Dapo areas.
51.4% of male
48.6% of female
Ethnic 40% Oromo Ethnic group
5.00% from SNPP
Religion 86.7% Christian
13% are Islamic.
90.10% household heads male
Age: head45 years old
spouse 35 years
Size < 6 persons
Farmer’s experience in agriculture 23 years
Education 5 years of school
Assets Drought power: 72.2% own oxen
12% own horse
Labor Labor intensive: Meher, Livestock, Perennials
Off-farm jobs: seasonal trends Meher > Belg (trader, paid laborers)
3 plots/H, 0.79 Ha
Water Source Rainfed 95.26%, river 2%
Distance to homestead 1.4 km
30% plots highly
Type Diesel ; 23% Manual
Ownership 69.20% HH jointly
Purpose Irrigate the crops; garden
2.43% Motorized vehicle
50.00% have at least borrowed money once.
Reason for aid activity’ implementation
74.5% households practices at least one type
Furrow at 48.44% , sprinkle
4.30% of household
20.81% perennials - ≤50% plot
92.3% of household - 3,576 animals.
17.4% of livestock are lost of disease
- in temperature
- in rainfalls
y= α+ βn,ixn,i+ βn+1,ixn+1,i+εi
Pseudo-r² (goodness-of fit, maximum loglikelihood)
First Adoption Models
1. Adoption of Pump as a Water Management Strategy technology
(Soil bunds, Stone bunds, Grass Stripes and Plouhging contour)
More productive farmers, closer to market, hiring labour, owning oxen and being informed.
Plot near homestead, middle size farmers
Poorer farmers, further from market & more likely to received Aid
Thank you for
me at ILRI/IWMI!