CS 182/CogSci110/Ling109 Spring 2008

1. CS 182/CogSci110/Ling109Spring 2008 Reinforcement Learning: Details and Biology 4/3/2008 Srini Narayanan – ICSI and UC Berkeley

2. Lecture Outline • Reinforcement Learning: • Temporal Difference: TD-Learning, Q-Learning • Demos (MDP, Q-Learning) • Animal Learning and Biology • Neuro-modulators and temporal difference • Discounting • Exploration and Exploitation • Neuroeconomics-- Intro

3. Demo of MDP solution

4. Example: Bellman Updates

5. Example: Value Iteration • Information propagates outward from terminal states and eventually all states have correct value estimates

6. T T T T T T T T T T Full Estimation (Dynamic Programming) T T T

7. T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T Simple Monte Carlo

8. T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T T Combining DP and MC PREDICTION ERROR

9. Model-Free Learning • Big idea: why bother learning T? • Update each time we experience a transition • Frequent outcomes will contribute more updates (over time) • Temporal difference learning (TD) • Policy still fixed! • Move values toward value of whatever successor occurs s a s, a s,a,s’ s’

10. Q-Learning • Learn Q*(s,a) values • Receive a sample (s,a,s’,r) • Consider your old estimate: • Consider your new sample estimate: • Nudge the old estimate towards the new sample:

11. Any problems with this? No guarantee you will explore the state space. • The value of unexplored states is never computed. • Fundamental problem in RL and in Biology • How do we address this problem? • AI solutions include • e-greedy • Softmax • Evidence from Neuroscience (next lecture).

12. Exploration / Exploitation • Several schemes for forcing exploration • Simplest: random actions (-greedy) • Every time step, flip a coin • With probability , act randomly • With probability 1-, act according to current policy (best q value for instance) • Problems with random actions? • You do explore the space, but keep thrashing around once learning is done • One solution: lower  over time • Another solution: exploration functions

13. Q-Learning

14. Q-Learning • Q-learning produces tables of q-values:

15. Q Learning features • On-line, Incremental • Bootstrapping (like DP unlike MC) • Model free • Converges to an optimal policy (Watkins 1989). • On average when alpha is small • With probability 1 when alpha is high in the beginning and low at the end (say 1/k)

16. Reinforcement Learning DEMO • Basic idea: • Receive feedback in the form of rewards • Agent’s utility is defined by the reward function • Must learn to act so as to maximize expected utility • Change the rewards, change the behavior

17. Demo of Q Learning • Demo arm-control • Parameters • a = learning rate) • g = discounted reward (high for future rewards) • e = exploration(should decrease with time) • MDP • Reward= number of the pixel moved to the right/ iteration number • Actions : Arm up and down (yellow line), hand up and down (red line)

18. Helicopter Control (Andrew Ng)

19. Lecture Outline • Reinforcement Learning: • Temporal Difference: TD-Learning, Q-Learning • Demos (MDP, Q-Learning) • Animal Learning and Biology • Neuro-modulators and temporal difference • Discounting • Exploration and Exploitation • Neuroeconomics-- Intro

20. Example: Animal Learning • RL studied experimentally for more than 60 years in psychology • Rewards: food, pain, hunger, drugs, etc. • Conditioning • Mechanisms and sophistication debated • More recently neuroscience has provided data on • Biological reality of prediction error td-(and q) learning • Utility structure and reward discounting • Exploration vs. exploitation

21. Unpredicted reward (unlearned/no stimulus) Predicted reward (learned task) Omitted reward (probe trial) Dopamine levels track prediction error (Montague et al. 1996) Wolfram Schultz Lab 1990-1996

22. Dopamine and prediction error Photosensors Dopamine Antagonists Rats were trained on maze sucrose solution at the end was the reward

23. RL Model Behavior

24. Human learning

25. Reward prediction in humans Dopamine neurons in VTA fMRI study. Changes in BOLD signal Decision Lab, Stanford University

26. Reward prediction in humans Explicit losses (punishment) seems to have a different circuit than the positive signal Changes modulated by probability of reward Decision Lab, Stanford University

27. Dopamine neurons and their role

28. Hyperbolic discounting Short term rewards are different from long term rewards Used in many animal discounting models Has been used to explain procrastination addiction Behavior changes as rewards become imminent Ainslee 1992

29. McCLure, Cohen fMRI expts

30. Different circuits for immediate and delayed rewards?

31. Immediate and Long-term rewards

32. Basic Conclusion of the McClure, Cohen experiments • Two critical predictions: • Choices that include a reward today will preferentially engage limbic structures relative to choices that do not include a reward today • Trials in which the later reward is selected will be associated with relatively higher levels of lateral prefrontal activation, • reflecting the ability of this system to value greater rewards even when they are delayed. • The hyperbolic discounting may reflect a tension between limbic and more pre-frontal structures… • As in the grasshopper and the ant (from Aesop) • Lots of implications for marketing, education… • Twist: More recent results suggest that the systems may be involved at different activity levels for immediate and delayed reward (Kable 2007, Nat. Neuroscience) • Either case provides unambiguous evidence that subjective value is explicity represented in neural activity.

33. Exploration vs. Exploitation • Fundamental issue in adapting to a complex (changing) world. • Complex biological issue. Multiple factors may play a role. • Consistently implicates neuro-modulatory systems thought to be involved in assessing reward and uncertainty. (D, NE, Ach) • The midbrain dopamine system has been reward prediction errors • The locus coeruleus (LC) noradrenergic system has been proposed to govern the balance between exploration and exploitation in response to reward history (Aston-Jones & Cohen 2005). • Basal forebrain cholinergic system together with the adrenergic system have been proposed • to monitor uncertainty, signalling both expected and unexpected forms, respectively, which in turn might be used to promote exploitation or exploration (Yu & Dayan 2005).

34. Discounting and exploration Aston-Jones, G. & Cohen, J. D. 2005 An integrative theory of locus coeruleus–norepinephrine function: adaptive gain and optimal performance. Annu. Rev. Neurosci. 28, 403–450.

35. Toward a biological model McClure et al Phil. Trans. of the Royal Society Proc. 2007

36. The Ultimatum Game: Human utility Sanfey, A.G. et al. (2003) The neural basis of economic decision making in the Ultimatum Game. Science

37. Summary • Biological evidence for • Prediction error and td-learning • Discounting • Hyperbolic • Two systems? • Exploitation and Exploration • LC and NE phasic and tonic • Social features cue relationship between discounting, utility, and explore/exploit

38. Areas that are probably directly involved in RL • Basal Ganglia • Striatum (Ventral/Dorsal), Putamen, Substantia Nigra • Midbrain (VT) and brainstem/hypothalamus (NC) • Amygdala • Orbito-Frontal Cortex • Cingulate Circuit (ACC) • Cerebellum • PFC • Insula

39. Neuroeconomics: Current topics • How (and where) are value and probability combined in the brain to provide a utility signal? What are the dynamics of this computation? • What neural systems track classically defined forms of expected and discounted utility? Under what conditions do these computations break down? • How is negative utility signaled? Is there a negative utility prediction signal comparable to the one for positive utility? • How are rewards of different types mapped onto a common neural currency like utility? • How do systems that seem to be focused on immediate decisions and actions interact with systems involved in longer-term planning (e.g. making a career decision)? • For example, does an unmet need generate a tonic and progressively increasing signal (i.e. a mounting ‘drive’), or does it manifest as a recurring episodic/phasic signal with increasing amplitude? • What are the connections between utility and ethics? Social issues.

40. Reinforcement Learning: What you should know • Basics • Utilities, preferences, conditioning • Algorithms • MDP formulation, Bellman’s equation • Basic learning formulation, temporal-difference, q-learning • Biology • Role of neuromodulators • Dopamine role • Short vs. long term rewards, Hyperbolic discounting • Exploration vs. exploitation • Neuroeconomics –The basic idea and questions. • What you might wonder • Role of reinforcement learning in language learning • Role of rewards and utility maximization in ethics, boredom… • Role of Neuro-modulation in cognition and behavior..