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Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Marine Services Jeff Savadel NWS S&T Committee September 17, 2002 Outline Team Composition Vision / Benefits Goals / Targets Key Information Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Summary Marine Services Team Composition

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slide1
Science and Technology Infusion Plan

for

Marine Services

Jeff Savadel

NWS S&T Committee

September 17, 2002

outline
Outline
  • Team Composition
  • Vision / Benefits
  • Goals / Targets
  • Key Information Gaps
  • Key Solutions
  • Outstanding R & D Needs
  • Summary
marine services team composition
Marine ServicesTeam Composition
  • Jeff Savadel - NWS/OST
  • Therese Pierce - NWS/OCWWS
  • Marty Ralph - OAR/ETL
  • James Partain - NWS/NCEP
  • Tom Ainsworth - NWS/WR
  • Andy Patrick - NWS/SR
  • Greg Mann – NWS/CR
  • C-S Wu - NWS/OST
  • Wendell Nuss - Naval Postgraduate School
  • Larry Burroughs - NWS/NCEP
  • Richard May - NWS/OCCWS
marine services vision benefits
Marine ServicesVision / Benefits

Vision

Forecast Accuracy for Winds and Waves of 75% at 10 Days

  • Reduce Storm-Related Mariner Losses by 25%
  • Expected Savings of $700M/Year (Heinz Center Report)
  • Expected Savings $30M/Year – Gulf of Maine Study (2002)
marine services goals targets to fy 12

Low Risk

High Risk

On Track

Marine ServicesGoals/Targets to FY 12

* Realistic goal as set by team

marine services key information gaps
Marine ServicesKey Information Gaps
  • More Atmospheric and Oceanic Observations – Ocean, Coastal, Great Lakes (i.e. Large Data Voids)
  • More Accurate 3D Picture of Atmosphere – Ocean, Coastal, Great Lakes (No Observations in Vertical)
  • Improve Model Resolution and Physics
  • More Training/Decision Support Systems
marine services key s t solutions
Marine Services Key S&T Solutions

Expand Buoy Network / Coastal Profilers *

Deployment

Observations

Buoy Profilers

OTE

METOP- ASCAT 12km

SSM/I + SSMIS

NPP - NPOESS

DTE

ADEOS2

8 km WRF *

R&D

45 km GFS

DA/NWP

10 km Wave Model

Coupled Land/Ocean/Atm

GODAS

Coupled Ocean/Atm/Ice *

SAFESEAS

Applications

Marine PDS

Training

01

02

05

06

07

08

04

10

09

11

12

03

marine services outstanding r d needs
Marine ServicesOutstanding R&D Needs
  • Continue Development and Evaluation of New Observing Systems
  • Improve NWP of Marine Boundary Layer
  • Improve Understanding of Meso-Scale Atmospheric/Oceanic Processes in Coastal Zones
  • Develop Methods to Deliver Marine Info (Text and Graphics) to All Mariners
  • Develop Coastal Flood Model
marine services summary
Marine ServicesSummary

Vision

75% Wind and Wave Accuracy

  • R&D Needs
  • Develop New Observing Systems
  • Improve NWP of Marine Boundary Layer
  • Improve Understanding of Meso-Scale Atmospheric/Oceanic Processes in Coastal Zones
  • Develop Advanced Dissemination Methods
  • Develop Coastal Flood Model

Increasing Performance

  • Improve Coupling of Ocean/Atm Model
  • Improve Decision Support Systems
  • Improve Remote Sensing Capabilities
  • Improve Ocean/Atm Model Resolution and Physics
  • Increase 3D Coastal and Ocean Obs.

Continuous Training / Regional Workshops

2002

2007

2012

2020

primary customers partners
Primary Customers/Partners
  • General Public
  • Professional mariners
  • National Ocean Service
  • U.S. Navy
  • U.S. Coast Guard
  • Maritime Administration
  • Corps of Engineers
  • Dept. of Defense
  • Federal Management Agency
  • U.S. Geological Survey
  • American Red Cross
  • World Meteorological Organization
key products services
Key Products/Services
  • Data
    • buoy, C-MAN, ship observations, Ice observations
  • Forecasts
    • coastal waters, nearshore, recreational, bay and coastal marine, surf, open lake, ice, Alaska bay and coastal
    • high seas, offshore, navtex, extratropical storm surge
  • Warnings
    • special marine, marine weather statements, lakeshore, coastal flood
    • Tsunami
marine services goals targets to fy 1218
Marine ServicesGoals/Targets to FY 12

On Track

Low Risk

High Risk

Discontinue