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    1.

    3. 1.

    4. Global Scene

    5. The GFC: What Went Wrong? Too many loans (sub-prime mortgages, infrastructure bonds and property loans) were made without consideration of prudential guidelines. Around 3% of the world’s financial assets (of $US 310+ trillion) and half the world’s stockmarket capitalisation ($US 60 trillion in June 2008) were “lost” The damaged securities were classed as “toxic assets”, similar to the “junk bonds” of the 1980s. However, the write-downs are excessive, and bargains are beginning to appear, The stockmarket is the one to watch for an economic recovery as it is usually 6-9 months ahead of the economy. It seems to have bottomed-out in March 2009

    6. World GDP GrowthReal growth (PPP), 1950-2009(F)

    7. World’s 30 Largest Economies 2009 (F)

    8. Economic Growth: 2009 (F)20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking)

    9. Economic Growth: 2010(F)20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking)

    10. Asia Economyppp terms 2009 (F)

    11. Australia

    12. When it comes to the Australian economy, we don’t know we’re alive! In the Industrial age from 1865-1964 there were 27 negative growth years in GDP - every 3-4 years apart on average - with average falls of 4.7%. In the New Age from 1965, there have been just two negative years, 22 years apart on average and with average falls of just 1.5%!

    13. Australia’s Economic GrowthReal growth in GDP 1860 to 2013

    14. Australian Index of Consumer Sentiment2 months progressive to July 2009

    15. Economic GrowthAnnual real GDP growth (%) progressed in quarters to March 2009 (and forecast to June 2013)

    16. Unemployment in AustraliaAnnual, 1890-2008 (with forecasts to 2012)

    17. Indicator Lending RateMaximum Overdraft

    18. South Australia

    19. Australia’s Economy & Population F2009 (F)

    20. Economic Growth: SA Real growth F1991-2008

    21. Adelaide House Prices% change over a year to March 2009

    22. Southern Adelaide

    24. At A GlanceF2009

    25. Southern Adelaide By LGA (% of total basis) F2009

    26. 2.

    27. Australia’s Market Demand Year To March 2009

    28. Household Consumption

    29. Australian Household Expenditure Year to March 2009

    30. Changing Household Expenditure% of total basis

    31. Capital Expenditure

    32. Components Of InvestmentYear To March 2009

    33. ExportsOf Goods & Services

    34. Australia’s Exports Market C2008

    35. 3.

    36. Australia’s Economic Progress Dominant Industries Period I Hunting Age Hunting, fishing & gathering -1820 II Agrarian Age Agriculture, Government 1821-1864 Resources & Commerce III Industrial Age Manufacturing, Commerce, Govt. Adm. & Resources IV Infotronics Age Service industries, Electronics 1965-2040s & Knowledge V Enlightenment Knowledge, Services and Space 2040s -

    37. Australia’s Economic GrowthGDP @ Constant F2008 Prices 1788-2009 (F)

    38. Changing Importance of Australian Industry Share of GDP* by Industry Division

    39. Australia’s Industry Mix Shares of GDP in constant F2007 price terms Year to March 2009

    40. Outsourcing Creates Most Industries We outsourced the growing of things to create the agriculture industry, aided by new technologies We outsourced the making and building of things to create the industrial age industries of manufacturing and construction, aided by new technologies and utilities. We are outsourcing services (household services and business functions) to create the current infotronics age from 1965-2040s, aided by new systems & technologies and a new utility sector.

    41. Household Outsourcing in The New Age Entertainment Hospitality Clubs Taverns, Pubs and bars Casinos, other gambling Tourism Hotels, motels, guesthouses etc Entertainment centres, theme parks, Air travel, boat travel, car rental Meals Fast Food outlets Theme Restaurants. Home delivery (of fast food). Finance, Investment & Legal Investment Advice & Management Tax Planning & Returns Legal services Health Wellness Home nursing, aged care at home. Home masseur treatment. Childminding Nanny services, child minding centres. Maintenance Room/house painting Home Repairs Electrical Plumbing etc Gardening/Exterior Landscaping, clean-ups. Lawn mowing Pool Maintenance. Hair & Beauty Hairdressers/beauty salons Hair restoration Sexual Services Sexual services Cleaning Laundry, dry cleaning services. Internal cleaning. External cleaning Car maintenance Detailing, oil changes, brakes etc

    42. Household Outsourcing In The New Age1 F2009 (F)

    43. Business Outsourcing in the New Age Trucking Road transport industry. Cleaning Office, factory, hotel etc. Laundry, work clothes. Canteens, Dining Rooms Caterers. Maintenance Painting . Engineering. Carpentry. Security Security systems. Surveillance services. Personnel Recruitment. Out placement. Training. Reception Serviced offices. Accounting Payroll, Invoicing, Share Registers Full contract accounting. Superannuation administration. Computing Software development & writing. Computer services (IT outsourcing) Property Property trusts, Property management Marketing Advertising, media buying Call Centres Distribution Warehousing & Delivery Information & Planning Database services Strategic and Other Consulting Franchising Operations.

    44. Business Services In Australia % of total revenue basis F2008

    45. Overseas Outsourcing to Australia Tourism Incoming visitors. Travel/booking services IP & Business Services Designs, patents (eg. Orbital Engine Co). Systems intellectual property eg. franchises, licences. Technical know-how. Education Tertiary & lower education (incoming students and outgoing teachers). Electronic education (satellite, diskettes, CDs, videos etc). Health Surgery and recuperation /sanatorium services. IC&T Software, selected hardware, on-line information Meteorological information etc. Communication services Sport Competitive (regional & world events). Manufacturing Value-added resources. Downstream manufactures (from resource strengths). Unique manufactures. Services (advisory). Mining Energy minerals (oil, gas, uranium, coal). Metals (iron ore, alumina, nickel, gold). Non-metallic (rare earths). Services. Agriculture Crops (cotton, new fruit & vegetable, sorghum, oilseeds, rice). Livestock (beef). Fishing (fish farming).

    46. Fastest Growing Industry ThemesNew Age 1965-2040s Business Services – outsourcing non-core functions. Financial Services - outsourcing of transactions/investment. Property Services - outsourcing property ownership. Knowledge Industries - databases & multi-media services. Health - outsourcing home doctoring. Education - outsourcing pre-school, plus universities. Personal & Household Services - outsourcing chores. Cafes, Restaurants & Catering - outsourcing the kitchen. Tourism - outsourcing travel and accommodation. Recreation & Cultural Services - outsourcing leisure. Mining – energy minerals (oil, gas, coal, uranium) IC&T - the New Age all-pervasive utility. Biotechnology & Nanotechnology – New Age technologies.

    47. 4.

    48. Employment By Industry Sectors Australia June 2009, Share of Total Employment

    49. Employment Growth By Industry 5 year growth to June 2009, ‘000 persons

    50. Industry Employment Comparisons (% of total basis) F2009

    51. Where The Money Is By Industry Full-Time Total Adult Earnings, Year to March 2009 ($’000)

    52. 5.

    53. Profitability of Top 1800 Businesses Weighted ROSF (after tax), 5 years to F2006

    54. What the Best Enterprises Are Doing 1. They stick to one business at a time and do not diversify 2. They aim to dominate some segment (s) of their market 3. They are forever innovative, valuing the business’ IP. 4. They outsource non-core activities to enable growth. 5. They don’t own “hard” assets. 6. They have good and professional financial management. 7. They plan from the outside-in not the inside-out 8. They anticipate any new industry lifecycle changes. 9. They follow world best practice for their own type of business. 10. They develop strategic alliances. 11. They develop unique organisational cultures. 12. They value leadership first and management second.

    55. 6.

    56. In the emerging borderless world of the 21st Century, an enterprise needs at least to know and emulate World Best Practice for their own class of industry (one of 500 in the economy).

    57. What it is Unique intellectual property could best be described as a “cocktail” of: skills, special competencies, unique systems; patents, trademarks & brands; organisational culture, customer relation protocols; vision, plans and documented achievable strategies. It is the "holy grail" of a enterprise, its core and its most valuable balance sheet asset, whether recorded as such in dollar terms or not.

    59. To download this presentation go to: www.ibisworld.com.au

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