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: 2006227

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: 2006227

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    1. 1 ????????????? ???:?????? ??????? 2006?2?27?

    2. 2 ???? ?.?????? ?.??????????????? ?.??????????? ?.?????????????? ?.???:?????????????? ?.???:???????????????????? ?.?????????????

    3. 3 ?.??????

    4. 4 ??????????(2002) EU:34.5% World GDP share 35.6% World Trade share NAFTA : 29.6% World GDP share 20.4% World Trade share ASEAN+3 : 18.7% World GDP share 19.62% World Trade share

    5. 5 ??????

    6. 6

    7. 7 ??+3?????? 1999?10+3??????????«????????»??,????????????????????????????????????????????????????:?????????????????? ???????????? (?)??????????????(???????????) (?)??????????????(????????????????«????????») (?)??????????????(???????) (?)????«????»?(??????????????,??? ????) (?)????????????(??????????,????? ???????????)

    8. 8 ??????????

    9. 9 ???????????????????(1) ??????????????????????????? ??????????,?????????????????? ??????????????????,?????????,???????? ??????????????????,??????????????,????????????? ???????????????????: (1)?????ASEAN+3????,?????????? ?,??????????????? (2)?????swap?????,?????????????swap?????????? (3)??(swap)??????????100%,?????10??????20????<?????16???swap??,????395????> (4)swap?????IMF??,???????,??swap???10%???20%

    10. 10 ???????????????????(2) ??????????,???????????????????????? ?????????,???????????,????????,?????????????? ?????????,??????????????? ????????,?????????????????????????????????????????? ???????IMF??,?????????????????? ???????????2006???????????

    11. 11 FTA??????

    12. 12 The Four Major Issues of Economic Integration in East Asia An Integrated Financial and Monetary System (i) An institution that allows mutual consultation regarding exchange rates, interest rates, and foreign exchange reserves (ii) The Asia Bond Initiatives (ABI) for the purpose of constructing the infrastructures and for the development of regional bond market. (iii) An integrated intra-regional exchange rate system with a “basket peg Open East Asian Regionalism (i) regional FTA hub or bilateral FTA strategies (Singapore, Thailand, China, Japan) (ii) regional financial hub (Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan) (iii) regional logistic hub (Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Korea, Taiwan) Early Harvest Package (Agriculture) Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam Intra-industry specialization and manufacturing division of labor approach Sohn and Yoon (2001);Lee and Mark(2002);Park(2003);Lee-in Chen Chin(2002)

    13. 13

    14. 14 ??????????????GTAP??

    15. 15 ??????:1978~86 ??????:1987~96 “????”??:1997~2001 “?????????”??:2001?8??? ???: (1)????????????????? ??????????,?????????????????«???????????????????»??????????????,????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????????????????????,????????????????;?????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????? ? (2)????????,?????????????????,????

    16. 16 ?????????

    17. 17 ??????????????

    18. 18 ???????????????

    19. 19 ??????????????

    20. 20 ?????????????? ??????????(????)??????????????????,2001~2003?????????????????50%???,??????(???77~79%?)????(?62.76%??70.89%)????(?60.61??65.11%)???(??61%??)????(?54.79??60.39%)???(??55~58%???)????(???50%??)?????????(???31%??)???(31.63%??34.75%)???(???27%)???(22.21%??32.19%)?????????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????

    21. 21 ??????????????

    22. 22 ?????????????

    23. 23

    24. 24 The famous logistics operation model had been improved from 952 (95% of products will be assembled and shipped to the ordering customers in 5 days) in 1997, to 982 (98% of products in 2 days) in 2000 and then 1002 (100% products arrived orders in two days) in 2003 in Electronics and Information Industry (TEEMA, 2003). Other famous global operation or logistic strategies by Taiwanese multinational manufacturers are “time to market”, “time to volume” and “time to money” (Foxconn, 2004).

    25. 25 Taiwan’s Perspectives on the Contribution to Economic Integration in East Asia (1) Taiwan’s possible role in the integrated financial and monetary system (2) Contributions to East Asian Open Regionalism and Industrial Specialization or Clusters (3) Contributions to Early Harvest Package

    26. 26

    27. 27 Long-term Way Out: A Cross-Strait Peace Dialogue and Operation Framework between Taiwan and China  –Politically: • For a better integration and development of Northeast Asia with Southeast Asia politically and economically, Taiwan should be seriously considered a member of ASEAN+4 or East Asia Summit. • Taiwan should earn a full membership in the UN and contribute to the international society as an UN NGO and ICT Task Force Asian Center as a beginning step. • Negotiating a peace and operational political framework with China on how to co-existent (i.e. division of labor) in the UN community. • Negotiating a long-term political framework for greater Chinese countries (i.e. PRC, ROC (Taiwan), Mongolia; If necessary, Singapore can be invited).  

    28. 28 –Economically: • Military reduction negotiation vs. assisting the development of mid and Western regions of China can be candidly discussed on the negotiation table. • Negotiating on the establishment of a Chinese International Court. There are special needs to set up such institute for solving business and civilian disputes. (Hopefully, the quality and legal concept of greater Chinese people can be improved.) Japan & Taiwan: agriculture and food (biotech) industry Korea & Taiwan: electrical and electronics industry Korea: transportation, textile, closing Taiwan: chemical and medicine, precision instrument ASEAN: chemistry fibers, machine, transportation Taiwan & ASEAN: metal smelting and pressing, petrochemical and chemical  

    29. 29

    30. 30 ??????????: (1) ?????WHO?????????; (2) ??NGO???????????????? ??; (3) ????????????????????? ??????????????: (1)   ???????(????????); (2)   ???????(?????????); (3)   ????????????(????????????); (4)   ????????????(????????); (5)   ????????????????????????; (6)   ?????????????????????

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