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This study evaluates the performance of the Operational Atlantic Early Intensity Model using a 5-year sample (2007-2011). It focuses on the Mean Absolute Error and forecast skill to assess the model's accuracy in predicting hurricane intensity. The findings provide insights into the model's reliability and highlight areas for improvement, contributing to more accurate forecasts in hurricane intensity prediction. The analysis aims to support operational forecasting efforts and enhance preparedness for Atlantic hurricane events.
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Operational Atlantic Early Intensity Model Verification5-year Sample (2007-2011) OFCL shown for comparison Mean Absolute Error Forecast Skill