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CSES Vision & Strategies. by Edward L. Miles Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs Adjunct Professor of Fisheries Senior Fellow & Co-Director CSES/JISAO University of Washington Seattle, Washington CSES Review, 2004. The Principals Group. Columbia River Basin.

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cses vision strategies

CSES Vision & Strategies

by

Edward L. Miles

Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs

Adjunct Professor of Fisheries

Senior Fellow & Co-Director CSES/JISAO

University of Washington

Seattle, Washington

CSES Review, 2004

the climate impacts group

Columbia

River Basin

The Climate Impacts Group

Areas of study:

Water resources Salmon

Forests Coasts

Motivation:

  • Increase regional resilience to climate variability and change
  • Produce science useful to (and used by!) the decision making community; requires close and sustained stakeholder interactions

An understanding of the patterns and consequences of past climate variability, policy responses and their impacts is essential for preparing for future changes in climate.

climate impacts science design concept 1
Climate Impacts Science:Design Concept 1
  • The study of how climate, natural resources, and human socio-economic systems affect each other
  • Requires integration of physical and social science research (UW+) and incorporation of stakeholders’ perspective (federal, tribal, state, local)
slide5

Climate dynamics

Impacts on natural systems

Impacts on human systems

Human response capabilities

VERTICAL

ASSESSMENT

slide7

Regional Climate Impacts Assessment

External Stresses

Institutional Barriers

  • Climate Research Community
  • Seasonal/interannual climate forecasting
  • Anthropogenic climate change projections
  • Diagnostic analysis and interpretation

Climate

Impacts

Group

Managed Natural Resource Systems

climate

Nature

  • Institutions
  • - Resource Managers
  • Policymakers
  • User Communities

CLIMATE

IMPACTS

SCIENCE

humans

nature

Adaptation & Change

Climate Impacts Research is retrospective, contextual, interdisciplinary & integrated

slide8

Design Concept 2: Integrated Watershed Analysis

Climate change

(altered water cycle)

Human activities

(resource & land use)

Climate change

Climate change

(sea level rise & ocean mixing)

Human activities (aquaculture, development)

Freshwater habitat

(water quality, quantity & timing)

Human activities (fishing)

Health & Viability of PNW salmon

Estuarine habitat

(water quality, mixing processes)

Ocean habitat