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ENGAGE. HSB for Donegal. 12 Feb 2013 • Pat Kidney. Trends in the Irish market. Mobile and FWA broadband services have become a major feature of Ireland’s broadband market Fixed broadband speeds have increased from their previously low level

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engage
ENGAGE

HSB for Donegal

12 Feb 2013 • Pat Kidney

trends in the irish market
Trends in the Irish market
  • Mobile and FWA broadband services have become a major feature of Ireland’s broadband market
  • Fixed broadband speeds have increased from their previously low level
  • Service bundling and closer integration of fixed and mobile services are increasingly prominent features of the market
  • All mobile operators are engaged in network sharing
  • multi-band spectrum auction in 2012 has raised EUR 854m 140 MHz of prime sub-2GHz spectrum
  • The 2.3 GHz and 3.5GHz spectrum bands has potential to further enhance competition and capacity for wireless broadband
  • National Broadband plan has earmaked EUR175m for broadband
in the 2016 2018 a mix of technologies is expected in the irish telecoms market
In the 2016 – 2018, a mix of technologies is expected in the Irish telecoms market…

UPC will have DOCSIS3.0 in urban areas, but may not reach 55% of pop.

LTE and ADSL2 to blue areas (35% pop.)

Eircom will use VDSL for high speed broadband, and will maintain its existing ADSL services outside urban areas

LTE, DOCSIS3.0, and VDSL to green areas (55% pop.)

Only LTE in red areas (10% pop.)

Urban 55%

Rural 55-90%

Final 10%

In urban areas LTE will have fibre backhaul to ensure high performance

In rural and remote areas the LTE will have microwave backhaul to reduce cost, at the expense of performance

DOCSIS3.0

VDSL

ADSL

LTE

a comprehensive nga solution may use ftth fttc cable wireless and other technologies

FTTH/GPON

FTTC

Wireless LTE

Cable

FTTH/GPON

FTTC

Wireless LTE

FTTC

Wireless LTE

NSS

NSS

NSS

Up to 90%

Up to 90%

Up to 90%

Nationwide

Nationwide

Nationwide

A comprehensive NGA solution may use FTTH, FTTC, cable, wireless and other technologies

Scenario 1: Fibre and wireless

Cost of deployment by scenario

Scenario 2: Cable, fibre and wireless

Scenario 3: VDSL and wireless

Source: Analysys Mason

the national broadband scheme brought basic broadband to unserved areas of donegal
Source: DCENR, H3GIThe National Broadband Scheme brought basic broadband to unserved areas of Donegal

Target area

Actual coverage

nga is likely to be delivered through a variety of fixed and wireless technologies
NGA is likely to be delivered through a variety of fixed and wireless technologies
  • NGA consists of many networks – including FTTH/FTTC, cable, and 4G – but how much of each should be built and where?

Fibre networks

Wireless networks

FTTC and FTTH networks require the installation of new fibre links from the local exchange directly to, or closer to, the subscriber.

Optimal duct re-use can help reduce costs

In addition to wireless infrastructure costs, spectrum fees can be expensive. To support next generation access speeds many base stations may also require high-capacity fibre backhaul links

Rely on direct physical connections to the subscriber – capital expenditure generally increases in areas where access distances are greater (typically rural areas)

Low-frequency spectrum from the Digital Dividend could extend the reach of LTE base stations and consequently reduce the capital costs of providing next-generation wireless broadband in rural areas

A combination of extending the reach of fibre, plus additional wireless sites will be required to satisfy our work and social needs

why dig costs make up around 65 of total ftth costs

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

Proportion of dig costs for FTTH

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Urban

Rural

Very rural

Why? ….dig costs make up around 65% of total FTTH costs

Breakdown of costs of civil works for FTTH

Final drop

~50m

to premise

from DP

to DP

~300m

from cabinet

Route out of exchange

~2km

to cabinet

from exchange

The part of the route closest to the distribution point (DP) represents the highest proportion of costs

Source: Analysys Mason

we have analysed each measure from an individual cost benefit perspective
We have analysed each measure from an individual cost–benefit perspective …
  • Source: Analysys Mason

Performs most strongly in a cost–benefit analysis, but may have limited impact in developed markets

Reduction to cable damage could lead to significant benefits

5 investment models
5 investment models…
  • Choice of investment model

Bottom-up

Group of end users oversee the contract to build and operate their own local network

5 models

Publicdesign build and operate

Privatedesign build and operate

Public sector owns and operates a network without any private sector assistance

Managing Authority provides a grant to private sector to assist in deployment of new network

Joint venture

Publicoutsourcing

Ownership of the network is split between the public and private sector

Single contract for construction and operation of network, but public sector retains ownership and some control

each investment model has its place
Each investment model has its place

Choice of investment model

Summary of pros and cons of investment models

the focus is on delivering benefit to users
The focus is on delivering benefit to users
  • Socio economic benefit must be managed alongside project sustainability to deliver long term benefits
    • Long term control by public sector can protect end user benefit, however the private operators can bring invaluable expertise
    • Sustainability is critical as socio-economic benefits will take time
  • The bottom up model may suit small scale fibre projects
    • Long term non-profit view of end users suits the fibre business case, but this may be difficult to leverage on a large scale
  • Open and non-discriminatory access to infrastructure supports effective competition