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Are we losing the Race Between Population Growth and Food Supply?

Examining past and future trends in food production and population growth, this research discusses key variables, potential obstacles, and favorable outcomes. It highlights the importance of technological advancements, human capital, and equitable food accessibility.

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Are we losing the Race Between Population Growth and Food Supply?

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  1. Are we losing the Race Between Population Growth and Food Supply? Nicole Vaughan and Victoria Vogel 10/12/10 ECON 0428

  2. Past Trends (Johnson, 2002)

  3. Past Trends • In recent decades, global food production has kept pace with population growth (Kravdal, 2001). • Technological advances have led to increases in the productivity of both labor and land. • Substitutes for land • New Crop Varieties • Increases in Education

  4. Future Trends (Bongaarts, 1996)

  5. Future Trends • Available Arable Land • Increasing Crop Yields • Increasing Crop Frequency • Percent Direct Human Consumption • Improved Efficiency

  6. Key Variables in the Food Supply System (Bongaarts, 1996)

  7. Future Trends • The rate of population growth and the rate of per capita food consumption are expected to reach zero after 2050 (Bongaarts, 1996). • Based on past increases in crop yield and projections for the future, food production is likely to keep pace with population growth. • Changing Preferences • Increased Meat Consumption • Increased Caloric Intake

  8. Future Trends • Potential Obstacles • Short-run increases in Food Prices. • Potential Difficulties in Importing/Exporting Food • Poverty • Limited accessibility of food due to income barriers. • Malnutrition concentrated in poor populations. • Environmental Degradation • Deforestation • Land Degradation • Loss of Biodiversity • Increased Carbon Footprint

  9. Future Trends • Favorable Results of Population Growth • Increases in Human Capital • Labor • More people working in agriculture. • Knowledge • More people working in other sectors.

  10. Conclusion • We have the ability to produce enough food for a growing global population. • Technological advancements • Increased human capital • In order to insure food stability for everyone, we have to see improvements in food accessibility for those who need it most. • Increased income equality • Improvements in distribution networks

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