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FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK

FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK. April 2011. * TURKEY AT A GLANCE * TURKISH ECONOMY IN THE WORLD * FOREIGN TRADE DEVELOPMENTS OF TURKEY * TRADE WITH FINLAND. Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor. TURKEY AT A GLANCE; STORY OF A FAST DEVELOPING DEMOCRATIC COUNTRY. April 2011.

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FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK

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  1. FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK April 2011 * TURKEY AT A GLANCE * TURKISH ECONOMY IN THE WORLD * FOREIGN TRADE DEVELOPMENTS OF TURKEY * TRADE WITH FINLAND Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  2. TURKEY AT A GLANCE; STORY OF A FAST DEVELOPING DEMOCRATIC COUNTRY... April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 2

  3. 1. SUCCESSFUL ECONOMY * Booming economy (USD 230 billion to USD 618 billion GDP from 2002 to 2009) * Promising economy with a bright future as it is expected to be the fastest growing economy among the OECD members during 2011-2017 with an annual average real GDP growth rate of 6.7 percent * 16th largest economy in the world and 6th largest economy compared to the EU area in 2009 * Institutionalized economy fueled by over USD 83 billion of FDI in the last 7 years and ranked as the 15th most attractive FDI destination for 2008-2010 (UNCTAD)   April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 3

  4. 2. POPULATION • A population of 73 million people • Largest youth population compared with the EU • Median age 28.8 • 60 percent of the population under the age of 35 3. QUALIFIED LABOR FORCE * Over 24.7 million young, well-educated and motivated professionals * 5th largest labor force compared with the EU * Approximately 450,000 graduates from circa 150 universities * Around 550,000 high school graduates, including one third from vocational and technical high schools April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 4

  5. 4. CENTRALLY LOCATED * A natural bridge between both East-West and North-South axes, thus creating an efficient and cost effective outlet to major markets * Easy access to 1.5 billion customers in Europe, Eurasia, the Middle East and North Africa * Access to multiple markets worth USD 22 trillion of GDP 5. ENERGY CORRIDOR AND TERMINAL OF EUROPE * An important energy terminal and corridor in Europe connecting the East and West * As an energy transit country, Turkey currently has the capacity to transport 121 million tons of oil to the world markets per annum. In the near future, the annual transit capacity will increase to 221 million tons of oil and 43 billion m³ of natural gas. April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 5

  6. 6. CUSTOMS UNION WITH THE EU SINCE 1996 * Customs Union with the EU since 1996, and Free Trade Agreements (FTA) with 16 countries * Accession negotiations with the EU since 2005 7. LARGE DOMESTIC MARKET * 30 million internet users in 2009, up from 4 million in 2002 63 million GSM users in 2009, up from 23 million in 2002 * 44.4 million credit card users in 2009, up from 16 million in 2002 * Over 85 million airline passengers in 2009, up from 33 million in 2002 * 27.3 million international tourist arrivals in 2009, up from 13 million in 2002 April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 6

  7. TURKISH ECONOMY IN THE WORLD... April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 7

  8. World’s Biggest Economies (GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity, Trillion Dolar, 2009) * In 2010, it is estimated that with 1,040 billion USD, she reached 15th place Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 8

  9. Europe’s Biggest Economies (GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity, Trillion Dolar, 2009) Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2010 April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 9

  10. GDP Developments of Some Regions and Countries (2010) Source: IMF Outlook • In Medium Term Program (2011-2013), it was predicted that Turkey will grow by 6.8%. According to the IMF, Turkey is forecasted to grow by 7.8%. Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  11. Growth Forecasts for Some Economies Source: IMF, OECD, European Commussion • According to the IMF, Turkey will not be heavily affected by the European debt crisis, • OECD forecasts a positive outlook for Turkey • It will take time for private investment to reach pre-crisis level, • Turkey is one of the fastest growing economies in 2010. Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  12. Comparison of Europe and Turkey:Real GDP Growth (2001=100) April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 12

  13. Average Inflation in Periods (%) Source: TURKSTAT, CBRT April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 13

  14. FOREIGN TRADE DEVELOPMENTS OF TURKEY... April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 14

  15. Annual Exports (Billion USD) (*) Annualized as of January 2011 Source: TURKSTAT Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor April 2011

  16. Foreign Trade Developments 2009 - 2010 / Jan. 2011 Source: Turkstat In January2011 compared with the same month in 2010, • Exports and imports increased by 22,1% and 44,3% respectively. • Trade deficit reached to 7,3 billion dollars , rising by 89,4%. Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  17. Exports in Main Categories ISIC: International Standard Industrial Classification Source:Turkstat Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  18. Imports in Main Categories BEC: Broad Economic Categories Source: Turkstat Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  19. The Main Export Destinations (January 2011) Main Trade Partners (January 2011) The Main ImportPartners(January 2011) (Billion Dollars) (Billion Dollars) Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  20. Breakdown of Exports by Regions Source: Turkstat Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  21. Exports by Some Country Groups • Neighbouring and Surrounding Countries are the main export partners • While exports to African countries declined, exports to CIS increased significantly Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  22. Breakdown of Imports by Regions Source: Turkstat Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  23. Foreign Trade in Currencies • Theshare of exports in Eurosandtheshare of imports in Dollarsarehigher. Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  24. Developments in Real Exchange Rates • Turkish Lira’s real appreciation against dollar and euro was 49.1% and 14% respectively in the period of 2002-2009. Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor

  25. TRADE WITH FINLAND... April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 25

  26. Foreign Trade of Finland April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 26

  27. Main Trade Partners of Finland April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 27

  28. Major Import Items of Finland in 2010 April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 28

  29. Major Export Items of Finland in 2010 April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 29

  30. Foreign Trade Between Turkey and Finland($) April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 30

  31. First 10 Items Exporting from Turkey to Finland in 2010 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 31 April 2011

  32. First 10 Items Imported from Finland to Turkey in 2010 April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 32

  33. THANK YOU!... April 2011 Embassy of Turkey, Office of the Commercial Counsellor 33

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