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Amanda Dean Vice-President, Atlantic Insurance Bureau of Canada

Building Resilience to Natural Hazards and Climate Change June 11, 2014. Amanda Dean Vice-President, Atlantic Insurance Bureau of Canada. Sean Lee Manager, Engineering Services City of Fredericton. Global Losses 1980-2013. Insured Losses (at 2012 values) Insured Losses Trend.

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Amanda Dean Vice-President, Atlantic Insurance Bureau of Canada

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  1. Building Resilience to Natural Hazards and Climate Change June 11, 2014 Amanda Dean Vice-President, Atlantic Insurance Bureau of Canada Sean Lee Manager, Engineering Services City of Fredericton

  2. Global Losses 1980-2013 Insured Losses (at 2012 values) Insured Losses Trend Economic Losses (at 2012 values) Economic Losses Trend • Source: Guy Carpenter,Swiss Re

  3. Alberta Floods

  4. New Brunswick Floods

  5. Loss & Loss Adjustment Expenses | * 2013 Jan-Jul estimated Source: IBC Facts Book, PCS, Swiss Re, Munich Re & Deloitte Values in 2012 $ CAN

  6. $1 billion+ Loss & Loss Adjustment Expenses | * 2013 Jan-Jul estimated Source: IBC Facts Book, PCS, Swiss Re, Munich Re & Deloitte Values in 2012 $ CAN

  7. 2010 Atlantic Winter Storms 5, 307 claims • $50.7 million

  8. $3.2 billion Loss & Loss Adjustment Expenses | * 2013 Jan-Jul estimated Source: IBC Facts Book, PCS, Swiss Re, Munich Re & Deloitte Values in 2012 $ CAN

  9. Virtual CAMP Virtual CAMP responded to: • NL: Wabush Fire – Jun 28,2013 – Jul 7th, 2013 • NS/ NB: Flood (Digby Co., St. Stephen) – Jul 12th, 2013 • NB: Tornado – (Fredericton) – Jul 21, 2013 – Jul. 24, 2013 • NB: Floods – (Moncton) – Jul 30, 2013 – Aug 3, 2013 • NL: Floods – (Burin) – Aug 12, 2013 • NS/PEI/NB/NL: Hurricane Gabrielle – Sep. 14, 2013 • NS/PEI/NB/NL: Ice storm – Dec. 13, 2013 • NS/PEI/NB/NL: Ice storm, snow load, floods – Feb – May 2014 • Provincial EMO’s, Gov’t officials, Media releases, Twitter Feed & Red Cross contact were made throughout all events, CIC was opened 24/7.

  10. $55 billion Sewer and stormwater system infrastructure deficit

  11. Fredericton’s Experience • Weather is changing • Increased rainfall intensity • Change in winter precipitation • Increased winter temperature fluctuations

  12. Fredericton’s Experience • St. John River flooding

  13. Adaptive Measures in Fredericton • Separated sewer systems • Infrastructure renewal • Major / minor storm system • Increased major system capacity • Upgraded culverts

  14. Adaptive Measures in Fredericton • An “unconnected” Downtown • Raised critical road sections • Storm water valves • Attenuation ponds

  15. Adaptive Measures in Fredericton • Net zero storm water guidelines and development standards • Minimum habitable space elevation

  16. Municipal Risk Assessment Tool Coquitlam Fredericton Hamilton

  17. Municipal Engagement • Nine municipalities involved: • Bathurst, NB • Winnipeg, MB • London, ON • Moncton, NB • Coquitlam, BC • Fredericton, NB • Halifax, NS • St. John’s, NL • Hamilton, ON

  18. MRAT AGE OF SEWER MAINTENANCE PROGRAM WATER PROXIMITY

  19. MRAT CLAIMS HISTORY WEATHER PREDICTORS

  20. MRAT Risk Maps NOW 2020 2050

  21. Benefits of MRAT • Redefines relationship between insurers and municipalities • Fosters collaboration toward common cause • Game-changer – only tool of its kind in world

  22. Benefits of MRAT to Municipalities • Protects citizens and property from flood damage • Better forecasts and prepares for severe weather • Prioritizes infrastructure improvements/repairs based on current and future risk • Justifies and leverages federal infrastructure dollars • Assists municipalities in becoming leaders in severe weather adaptation and infrastructure renewal

  23. Why Fredericton? • Understanding of our system • Cooperation between Divisions • History

  24. Why Fredericton? • Topography • GIS data / mapping

  25. Why Fredericton? • Separated system • Sanitary and storm sewer maintenance • Unique servicing policy

  26. The Future of MRAT

  27. Accomplishments to Date • Large amounts of data transferred • 1st generation mapping reviewed • 2nd generation mapping, June 2014 • Gained more knowledge about our system

  28. Next steps for Fredericton • Review 2nd generation maps • Validate mapping • Incorporate highlighted areas into infrastructure renewal planning / construction • Review new IDF curves

  29. Current Status • Data obtained and maps developed for six additional municipalities • MRAT philosophy validated and accepted by Engineers of pilot municipalities • Built relationships with FCM, participating municipalities, federal and provincial governments

  30. Future of MRAT • Interest in MRAT from cities across Canada continues • P&C insurance industry will give MRAT development and risk maps to municipalities • Goal is to predict likelihood of catastrophic sewer backups to year 2050

  31. Future of Adaptation • Find solutions to the problem of natural catastrophes and severe weather • Create awareness and solutions around adaptation to severe weather and catastrophic losses • Build resiliency across Canada for: • Flood mitigation • Earthquake preparedness • Community safety

  32. Questions?

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