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MYKHAILO GONCHAR Ukraine 29 OCT 2009 MINSK

intell e nergy group. NOMOS. Strategy XXI. ENERGY WARS: FROM VIRTUALITY TO REALITY. MYKHAILO GONCHAR Ukraine 29 OCT 2009 MINSK. Some basic definitions.

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MYKHAILO GONCHAR Ukraine 29 OCT 2009 MINSK

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  1. intellenergy group NOMOS Strategy XXI ENERGY WARS: FROM VIRTUALITY TO REALITY MYKHAILO GONCHAR Ukraine 29 OCT 2009 MINSK

  2. Some basic definitions • Energy weapon is the complex system of application of energy and infrastructural potentials of country (corporation) with the purpose to make economic and political defeat to a opponent. The energy weapon can be used as energy resources and infrastructural varieties. • Energy resources weapon or CH-weapon (СН - chemical symbol of hydrocarbons) is the system use of supply of hydrocarbons (oil, gas) with not typical for the operations with commodities purpose for economic defeat of opponent and further receipt from its side of political and economic cessions or/and preferences. • Infrastructural weapon is the systematic use of energy infrastructure by one country (by a corporation) with the purpose to reorient energy streams bypassing other country for realization of economic and political pressure and receipt further cessions and preferences.

  3. Некоторые базовые определения • Энергетическое оружие – комплексная система использования энергетического и инфраструктурного потенциалов страны (корпорации) с целью нанесения экономического и политического урона вероятному противнику. • СН-оружие (СН-хим. символ углеводородов)– системное использование поставок углеводородных ресурсов с нехарактерной для товарных операций целью нанесения экономического урона вероятному противнику и последующего получения с его стороны политических и экономических уступок или/и преференций. • Инфраструктурное оружие – системное использование энергетической инфраструктуры одной страной (корпорацией) с целью временной или долгосрочной переориентации энергетических потоков в обход другой страны для осуществления экономического и политического давления и получения с ее стороны политических и экономических уступок или/и преференций.

  4. EU ENERGY CONNECTORS North Sea Russo-Baltic Belorussian Ukrainian Russo-Black Sea Turkish Suez North Africa

  5. STRATEGIC CHALLENGES: BYPASSES ROUTES OF RUSSIAN OIL & GAS EXPORT (DEVELOPMENT TILL 2030) TO ARCTIC OCEAN TO BALTIC SEA TO PACIFIC OCEAN TO BLACK SEA

  6. Caspian & Central Asian Gas Supply to Europe, Russian Scenario One from important goals of Russian ingression into Georgia – redirection of Caspian and C.Asian gas streams from Trancaspian and S.Caucasus directions in the North (via Russia)

  7. Russian & Kazakh Oil Supply to Europe, Russian Scenario

  8. BPS-І BPS-ІІ BALTIC PIPELINE SYSTEMS AS A CHALLENGE FOR OIL SUPPLY VIA “DRUZHBA”

  9. Simplified matrix-table of scenarios' variants for changes of transit gas supply volumes via pipelines from RF to EU through Ukraine

  10. Possible South – North Axes for Gas & Oil deliveriesto CEE countries Project of Gas pipeline Omisalj – Swinoujscie and oil pipeline Odesa – Brody

  11. APPROXIMATED SCHEME OF THE ON-LINE DATA INTERCHANGE SYSTEM AS A BASE OF EIGT Producer (RU) 17 indicators Daily verification Transmitter (UA, BY, MD) 14 indicators Consumer (EU) 14 indicators www.ua-energy.org

  12. Thank you for your attention NOMOS Center STRATEGY XXI www.nomos.com.ua www.ua-energy.org sevnomos@ukr.net migo@bigmir.net

  13. Caspian & Central Asian Gas Supply to Europe, Black Sea Scenario REDIRECTED GAS FROM CENTRAL ASIA

  14. Oil Supply to Europe, Black Sea Scenario (End of «Druzhba»)

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