ASPRS/CRSP IPT * 10 Year Remote Sensing Industry (RSI) Forecast May 24, 2000 *Views presented are IPT opinion and do not necessarily reflect NASA or ASPRS position
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May 24, 2000
*Views presented are IPT opinion and do not necessarily reflect NASA or ASPRS position
As we enter the Information Era, The Commercial Remote Sensing Industry (RSI) is on the verge of a period of accelerated growth with significant potential impact on the U.S.
To maximize the potential, there is an urgent need to accurately determine future customer/user-driven remote sensing needs and requirements …
and measure success
Within 5 years, the joint ASPRS/NASA CRSP endeavor will produce a cohesive, comprehensive Remote Sensing Industry analysis that will serve as the planning standard for both U.S. Government and private industry enterprises and facilitate U.S. dominance in this highly competitive market.
By the end of FY 2004, ASPRS and CRSP will jointly develop a process that:
Your Feedback Essential
Platforms & Sensors
Market segments have been mapped to the North American Industry Classification System (formerly the SIC codes) for the Remote Sensing Industry to provide the ability to correlate future economic census data retrospectively to market forecasts.
Companies tend to operate in multiple business segments
The international playing field is not level.
U.S. Companies are not "part of the Government" as are foreign competitors
Foreign competitor workforce trains in U.S.
Smaller companies have trouble "staying in the game” due to investment costs
Issue: US Governmentrole? Industry role?Emerging Key Factors & Barriers
Legislation and policies restrict U.S. company foreign sales, but do not hinder foreign companies
Government is predominant purchaser of data
Mergers with foreign companies are problematic
Issues: Who should lead? Is anybody now? Could/Should U.S. Government and Industry become closer “Partners” & “Speak with one voice?”Emerging Key Factors & Barriers
Current World RSI Market Projections
Based on conventional approaches ...
Source: Frost & Sullivan 1999
Based in part on Frost and Sullivan, 1999
Projected Market Forecast
What Happens When You Go “Out-of-the-Box”?
Emergent technologies enrich existing applications
Electronic & wireless information transfer
Foliage Penetrating (Fopen) radar
New systems are created to support RSI
Systems of systems
Knowledge-based decision aids
Personal use systems
New technologies create new merged applications
Multi sensors in single platforms
Bandwidth increaseWhat If...?????
Technologies are combined in creative, innovative ways to meet customer/user requirements
?and What if ??? ...
More Answers at the December Meeting
Estimating/Forecasting Future RS Market
Amount related to creative, innovative solutions to meet real needs of users and customer’s requirements with focus on remote sensing information rather than simply supplying data and imagery
More details in December
To better understand the industry:
Current baseline of industry
A 10-year industry forecast
An estimate of future industry trends
Future workforce needsASPRS/NASA Joint Industry Survey
Perform preliminary interviews
Develop online questions
Expand on premise
Establish e-mail list
Collect/analyzedataSurvey Plan Outline
To characterize the Remote Sensing Industry for current operations and future expectations in terms of:
Average firm size
The primary markets they serve
Trends and directions of the industry forces affecting the growth of the industry
Establishing the current and future workforce needsCommercial Survey Objective
To define the changes in the 2000-2010 period: operations and future expectations in terms of:
numbers of students, majors/minors, degrees, certificates
faculty recruitment- specialties to be hired
technology acquisition and laboratory development
disciplinary and interdisciplinary program development
To understand the business and governmental environments most applicable to this community. For example:
business-university partnership commercialization efforts
funding, equipment funds
friction between private sector and educational project workAcademic Survey Objectives
We Will Be Conducting operations and future expectations in terms of: an Online Survey That Will Begin Like This:ASPRS/NASAJoint Industry Survey
Click here to begin
Care to Join Us??? operations and future expectations in terms of:
Contact:Charles Mondello or Ron [email protected] copies of presentation: www.asprs.org
Contributing Organizations Include:NOAASpencer B. Gross, Inc.University of UtahKodakSpace ImagingEarthdata TechnologiesPAR Government SystemsAutometric
The End operations and future expectations in terms of: