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EFDL Group Meeting. Kirsten Feng 2009/05/14. North Atlantic Oscillation. Positive and negative NAO trend External, local and remote forcings MPI-OM (no flux adjustment) KCM (no flux adjustment) detrend : 利用統計回歸方法,減去整個的趨勢得到原始的 damping pattern
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EFDL Group Meeting Kirsten Feng 2009/05/14
North Atlantic Oscillation • Positive and negative NAO trend • External, local and remote forcings • MPI-OM (no flux adjustment) • KCM (no flux adjustment) • detrend : 利用統計回歸方法,減去整個的趨勢得到原始的damping pattern • 網格還不夠細,但是能夠看出NAO indices 在數十年及數百年尺度都有significant change
Tropical Pacific Climate • 8個給定不同起始條件的實驗 • 海氣間交互作用對於ENSO及聖嬰現象的影響在KCM的模擬結果 • KCM的平均狀態和模擬出的年際循環 ,並與實際的觀測資料比對 • KCM結果在某些區域偏高而某些區域偏弱,但整體而言的模擬算相當合理 • ENSO增大的變化性同時來自增強的thermocline feedback與atmospheric sensitivity.
Merci Beaucoup! 14,May,2009