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Population Change in Texas: Implications for Human and Socioeconomic Resources in the 21st Century. by Steve H. Murdock Department of Rural Sociology Texas Agricultural Experiment Station Texas A&M University System. Major Demographic Trends Affecting the Future.

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population change in texas implications for human and socioeconomic resources in the 21st century

Population Change in Texas:Implications for Human and Socioeconomic Resources in the 21st Century

by

Steve H. Murdock

Department of Rural Sociology

Texas Agricultural Experiment Station

Texas A&M University System

major demographic trends affecting the future
Major Demographic Trends Affecting the Future
  • Change in Rates and Sources of Population Growth
  • Increase in the Non-Anglo Population
  • Aging of the Population
slide13
Proportion of Net Population Change Attributable to Each Race/Ethnicity Group in Texas for 1980-1990 and 1990-2000
educational attainment in 2000 in texas for persons 25 years of age by race ethnicity
Educational Attainment in 2000 in Texas for Persons 25+ Years of Age By Race/Ethnicity

Percent

states ranked by percent high school graduates in the population 25 years of age or older 2000
States Ranked by Percent High School Graduates + in the Population 25 Years of Age or Older, 2000
states ranked by percent college graduates in the population 25 years of age or older 2000
States Ranked by Percent College Graduates +in the Population 25 Years of Age or Older, 2000
slide27
Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
slide28

Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population in Texas by Racial/Ethnic Status Under Alternative Assumptions of Migration Scenarios

slide29

Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Percent of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

projected proportion of population by race ethnicity in texas 2000 2040
Projected Proportion of Population by Race/Ethnicity in Texas, 2000-2040*

* Using U.S. Census count for 2000 and Texas State Data Center 1.0 population projection scenario for 2010-2040

slide31
Percent of the Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity and Age Groups in Texas from 2000-2040 Under Alternative Migration Scenarios
projected percent of net change attributable to each race ethnicity group in texas for 2000 2040
Projected Percent of Net Change Attributable to Each Race/Ethnicity Group in Texas for 2000-2040*

* Using U.S. Census count for 2000 and Texas State Data Center 1.0 population projection scenario for 2040.

slide33

The Texas Challenge in the Twenty-First Century: Implications of Population Change for the Future of Texas

The Center for

Demographic and

Socioeconomic

Research and Education

by

Steve H. Murdock

The Center for Demographic and

Socioeconomic Research and Education

Department of Rural Sociology

Texas A&M University System

slide35
Ethnic Diversity of the Population Enrolled in Elementary and Secondary Schools and Colleges in Texas, 2000 and 2040*
ethnic diversity of household income and consumer expenditures in texas 2000 and 2040
Ethnic Diversity of Household Income and Consumer Expenditures in Texas, 2000 and 2040*
slide37
State Tax Revenues in Texas Proportioned by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040* Assuming 2000 Decile Tax Rates

*Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

slide42

Percent of Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas Who Are High School Graduates and Higher or College Graduates and Higher by Race/Ethnicity, and Percent Change, 1990-2000

slide43
Public Community College and University Enrollment Rates (Per 100 Persons Ages 18 to 35) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity, 1990 and 2000
enrollment in public community colleges and public universities in texas 2000 2040
Enrollment in Public Community Colleges andPublic Universities in Texas, 2000-2040*
slide45

Percent Change in Projected Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College and Public University Enrollment in Texas Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

slide46
Projected Percent of Public Community College Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections for 2040*
slide47
Projected Percent of Public University Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections for 2040*
slide48

Number and Percent of Net Change in Projected Public Elementary and Secondary, Public Community College and Public University Enrollment in Texas Due To Each Race/Ethnicity Group, Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)

slide49

Average Annual Household Income in the United States

by Educational Attainment* in 2000

*From March 2001 Current Population Survey

slide50

Lifetime Household Income in the United States

by Educational Attainment* in 2000

*From March 2001 Current Population Survey

slide51

Working Lifetime (40 Years) Consumer

Expenditures by Educational Attainment

(in 2000 Dollars)

slide52

Working Lifetime (40 Years) Total State and Local Taxes for

Households by Educational Attainment of Householder

(in 2000 Dollars)

slide53

Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040* Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates

slide54

Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

slide55

Percent Change in Projected Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions, 2000 to 2040*

slide56

Prison Population and Prison Costs for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

slide57

Medicaid Participants and Medicaid Costs for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

slide58

TANF Participants and TANF Costs for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

slide59

Food Stamp Participants and Food Stamp Costs for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

slide60

Percent Change in Projected Prison, TANF, Food Stamp, and Medicaid Participants and Costs for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions, 2000 to 2040*

slide61

Steve Murdock

Texas State Data Center

Phone (CS) 979 - 845 - 5332

Phone (AUS) 512 - 463 - 7659

Fax 979 - 845 - 8529

Website txsdc.tamu.edu