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FLORIDA 2060 A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

This research project analyzes the trend of urban development in Florida from 2005 to 2060, focusing on population growth and land allocation. It also highlights the importance of conservation lands and proposes policy implications for sustainable future development.

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FLORIDA 2060 A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

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  1. FLORIDA 2060A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

  2. Thank you to the sponsors: The St. Joe Company, A. Duda & Sons, The Nature Conservancy, and Robert L. Parks, WilsonMiller, Fishkind & Associates, & Glatting Jackson.

  3. Florida 2060 Trend analysis of urban development Results of incremental decisions Question of legacy leadership Prepared by GeoPlan Center of UFandCQG&RD at Georgia Tech

  4. Assumptions 1. Moderate Population Growth (BEBR trend line) 2. New population consumes land at same density as existing development, by County 3. New population distributed geographically based on land suitability (existing urban, roadways, water, coastline, wetlands)

  5. Population Forecast 35.8 Million 17.9 Million 2005 2060

  6. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Existing Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

  7. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

  8. Statewide Land Use Allocation (millions of acres) PermanentlyProtectedConservation10.8 PermanentlyProtectedConservation10.8 Agriculture, Other Undeveloped Lands12.5 Agriculture, Other Undeveloped Lands19.5 Water2.0 Water2.0 Urban Development6.0 Urban Development13.0 2005 2060 Total: 38.3 Million Acres

  9. Additional Land Converted to Urban Development 2005-2060 Other1.5 Million Native Habitat2.7 Million Agriculture2.7 Million Total: 7 Million Acres

  10. New Conservation Lands Targeted For Purchase Statewide Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Lands Targeted for Purchase

  11. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands Existing Existing 2060

  12. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands 2005 2060

  13. Statewide Policy Implications Time for Leadership • Expand Florida Forever • Adopt New Policy on Converting Rural Land to Urban Use • Create 100 Year Legacy Plan

  14. Statewide Policy Implications Expand Florida Forever • Reauthorize • Higher Funding Level • Expand to Open Space, Agricultural Lands • Create Permanent Edges to Urban Communities

  15. Statewide Policy Implications Adopt New Policy on Converting Rural to Urban • Not Just Discourage Urban Sprawl • Add Density in Fair Trade for Significant Open Space, Natural and Agricultural Lands. •Regional Vision PlansLand Use, Environment, and Transportation •Master Plan “Communities of Place”

  16. Statewide Policy Implications 100 Year Legacy Plan • Protect Existing Property Rights • Preserve Community Character • Target Lands for Permanent Protection • Create “Livable Communities”Within Urban Areas - Redevelopment At Urban Edges In Potential New Towns • Guide State Budget, Investments

  17. FLORIDA 2060A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

  18. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

  19. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

  20. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

  21. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

  22. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

  23. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

  24. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

  25. Developed Land Conservation LandsPermanently Protected 2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

  26. Reserve Network for Florida Core Preserves Buffer Zones and Corridors Source: Noss & Cooperrider 1994

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