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SA Picture Book Kgotso Radira. Cyclical Indicators. 2. Leading Indicator. 3. Source: SARB. Composite Indicator. Lagging Indicator. Money & Finance. 6. … not enough jobs were created during periods of strong growth. Source: SARB. … key to job creation is investment in infrastructure.

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

SA Picture Book

Kgotso Radira

slide3

Leading Indicator

3

Source: SARB

slide7

… not enough jobs were created during

periods of strong growth

Source: SARB

slide9

…investment growth is key for

growth in employment

Source: SARB

slide11

…macro Inflation drivers

11

Source: Stats SA, Investec Economics

slide13

…due to rising international food prices..…

13

Source: Stats SA, Investec Economics

slide17

…our view on inflation going forward …

Target range (3-6%)

17

Source: Stats SA, Investec Economics

slide20

..Business Confidence….

Index

20

Source: I-net

slide21

Business confidence and investment

Index

21

Source: BER, SARB

slide24

Household debt to income and HCE

%

%qqsaa

Rm

% disposable income

24

Source: SARB

slide25

Consumer Confidence

Index

% ch y/y

25

Source: BER, SARB

slide27

..house prices…

% ch y/y ABSA House Prices

27

Source: ABSA

slide28

Insolvencies

28

Source: Stats SA

slide30

The strength of SA’s regulatory and corporate governance environment is being increasingly recognised but it remains dogged by legacy issues.

so where to from here 2012
….so where to from here (2012)?

Economy

Rand

Interest rates & inflation

Consumer spending

Relative to world

Government finances

Politics & Stability- important dates

31