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CURRENT SCENARIO OF EQUITY MARKET IN INDIA

CURRENT SCENARIO OF EQUITY MARKET IN INDIA. SIZE/STATISTICS MAJOR PLAYERS FACTORS DRIVING EQUITY MARKET IMPACT OF FII/FDI. CURRENT SCENE. BSE SENSEX RANGE BOUND AT 16500-17000 LEVELS NSE NIFTY AROUND 5100-4900 LEVELS NSE + BSE trading summary of FII/DII

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CURRENT SCENARIO OF EQUITY MARKET IN INDIA

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  1. CURRENT SCENARIO OF EQUITY MARKET IN INDIA • SIZE/STATISTICS • MAJOR PLAYERS • FACTORS DRIVING EQUITY MARKET • IMPACT OF FII/FDI

  2. CURRENT SCENE • BSE SENSEX RANGE BOUND AT 16500-17000 LEVELS • NSE NIFTY AROUND 5100-4900 LEVELS • NSE + BSE trading summary of FII/DII • FII PURCHASES FY 0900- Rs.391794 cr • FII sales FY 0900-Rs.361675 cr • FII Net Investment FY 0900 Rs.30118 cr • DII purchases FY 0900 Rs.192516 cr • DII sales FY 0900 Rs.181613 cr • DII net investment FY 0900 Rs.10903 cr

  3. RBI POLICY • CURRENT RBI Policy: • Repo rate (Bank borrowing from RBI) is at 4.75%, Reverse repo (Bank placing funds with RBI) at 3.25%, CRR at 5%. • 2. RBI placed the growth projection for GDP for 2009-10 at 6.0 per cent with an upward bias. • Expected that Fiscal and monetary stimulus measures will supplement domestic demand in 2009-10. On balance, an uptrend in the growth momentum is unlikely before the middle of 2009-10, the Bank said. • 3. The Bank projects the WPI inflation for end-March 2010 at around 5.0 per cent higher than the projection of 4.0 per cent made in the Annual Policy Statement of April 2009.

  4. RBI POLICY • 4. Monetary Policy Stance: On the basis of the above overall assessment, the stance of monetary policy of the RBI for the remaining period of 2009-10 will be to : • Manage liquidity actively so that the credit demand of the Government is met while ensuring the flow of credit to the private sector at viable rates. • Keep a vigil on the trends and signals of inflation, and be prepared to respond quickly and effectively through policy adjustments. • Maintain a monetary and interest rate regime consistent with price stability and financial stability supportive of returning the economy to the high growth path.

  5. FAVOURABALE FACTORS • INDICES MOVING UP SHARPLY IN INDIAN MARKET DURING LAST 6 MONTHS-VALUATION OF INDIAN MARKETS • INTRA DAY VOLATILITY • GROWTH STIMULAI OF VARIOUS COUNTRIES • WORLD ECONOMY REVIVING-INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UP • INTENT TO KEEP STIMULAI ON • INDIAN GDP EXPECTED AROUND 6% • DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION OF INDIAN ECONOMY

  6. CURRENT ECONOMIC SENARIO • INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION UP BY 6% IN JULY 2009 IN INDIA (MFG AND MINING) • AUTO SECTOR ,CEMENT,TELECOM LOOKING UP • THRUST ON INFRASTRUCTURE • NREPG HAVING SOME EFFECT IN RURAL AREAS • ADVANCE TAX FIGURES LOOK ENCOURAGING • MFS INVESTED TO THE EXTENT OF 90% OF THEIR FUNDS • REAL ESTATE LOKING UP IN AFFORDABALE SEGMENT

  7. CURRENT ECONOMIC SENARIO • AUTO SECTOR LOOKING UP • IT INDUSTRY LOOKING UP MARGINALLY • NO UNFAVOURABLE IMPACT ON IT FROM ADVANCED COUNTRIES • UID MAY GIVE A FILLIP TO IT INDUSTRY • REAL ESTATE COMPANIES LOOKING OUT FOR IPO • WATCH FOR QUARTERLY RESULTS AND DEMAND REVIVAL • TIGHTENING MONETARY POLICIES TO BE AWAITED

  8. NEW DEVELOPMENTS BY SEBI • Grading of IPOs made mandatory • Relaxation in case of QIP • Anchor Investors • Relaxation for Government Companies in Infrastructure Sector • SEBI introduced (i) mini contracts in equity indices, (ii) options contracts with longer life/tenure

  9. NEW DEVELOPMENTS BY SEBI • Trading hours to be increased

  10. Capitalisation/GDP Ratio

  11. TRENDS IN THE SECONDARY MARKETApr 2009-jun 2009

  12. NSE Turnover Jun08-Jul09

  13. Major Indicators of stock market-comparision-2006 to June 2009

  14. Trends in Derivatives Market at NSE

  15. SENSEX,NIFY,NASDAQ-FY0708

  16. TRENDS IN PRIMARY MARKET

  17. TRENDS IN PRIMARY MARKET

  18. QIP

  19. RESOURCE MOBILISATION BY MF

  20. GAIN IN BSE/NSE INDICES IN JUNE 2009

  21. INSTITUTIONAL INVESTMENT

  22. NET INVESTMENT BY FIIS

  23. FII Investments Trend

  24. FII Investments-debt and equity

  25. Size of the market-NSE • NSE turnover figures shows a substantial rise from Rs. 1,805 crore (US $ 574.29 million) in the year 1994-95 to Rs. 2,752,023 crore (US $ 540,141.59 million) in 2008-09. • The average daily trading volume increased from Rs. 17 crore during 1994-95 to Rs. 11,325 crore (US $ 2,223 million) during 2008-09. • During 2008-09 the volumes decreased by 22.50 % to Rs. 2,752,023 crore (US $ 540,142 million) from Rs. 3,551,038 crore (US $ 888,426 million) during 2007-08.

  26. NSE Trading Size Graph

  27. NSE-Cash Market • The total market capitalisation under CM segment increased from Rs. 363,350 crore (US $ 115,606 million) as at end March 1995 to Rs. 2,896,194 crore (US $ 568,439 million) as at end March 2009. • Decrease in Market capitalization of 40.38 % during 2008-09 as compared to the market capitalization of Rs.4,858,122 crore (US $ 1,215,442 million) in 2007-08.

  28. NSE INDICES FY 2008-09

  29. Derivative/CM turnover

  30. Derivative/CM turnover • The total turnover in the derivative segments surpassed the combined turnover in the cash segment of both BSE and NSE since early 2004. • During 2007-08, the turnover of derivatives market was higher by 259.9 per cent of the combined cash market turnover of BSE and NSE

  31. MF/FII Investment trend

  32. FY 07-08

  33. Secondary Market turnover

  34. Stock Exchange Turnover

  35. NIFTY 07-08

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