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The State of the Hispanic Community in the U.S. National Catholic Council for Hispanic Ministry Portland, Oregon October 26, 2012 Luis Lugo Pew Research Center Washington, D.C. www.pewforum.org. I. Changing Demographics. (1) THE GROWTH OF THE LATINO COMMUNITY.

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  1. The State of the Hispanic Community in the U.S.National Catholic Council for Hispanic MinistryPortland, OregonOctober 26, 2012Luis LugoPew Research CenterWashington, D.C. www.pewforum.org

  2. I Changing Demographics

  3. (1) THE GROWTH OF THE LATINO COMMUNITY U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicity: 2010 Total U.S. Population — 309 million 3 Source: Analysis of the 2010 U.S. Census by the Pew Hispanic Center

  4. Estimates of the U.S. Unauthorized Immigrant Population from Latin America, 2000-2010 Source: Trends in Unauthorized Immigration: Undocumented Inflow Now Trails Legal Inflow & U.S. Unauthorized Immigration Flows Are Down Sharply Since Mid-Decade, Pew Hispanic Center, 2008 & 2010 4

  5. U.S. Hispanic Population, by Origin: 2010 In thousands % of Hispanics 64.9 9.2 3.7 3.6 3.0 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.3 1.2 Source: The 10 Largest Hispanic Origin Groups: Characteristics, Rankings, Top Counties, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  6. Hispanic Origin Composition: 2010 6 Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the 2010 American Community Survey.

  7. Hispanic Population in the U.S.(Actual and Projected) Population in millions Source: Analysis of the 2010 U.S. Census by the Pew Hispanic Center

  8. Hispanic Share Doubles by 2050—Asian Share also Doubles Percent of Total Population 8 Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

  9. (2) DISPERSION OF THE HISPANIC POPULATION Where Were Concentrations in 1980?Almost All 15%+ Counties Along Border 14.6 Million Hispanics 6.4% of U.S. Pop. 194 Counties with 15%+ Hispanic 9 Source: Pew Hispanic Center

  10. Where Were Concentrations in 2010?Many Concentrations Emerge in Distant Areas 50.5 Million Hispanics 16.3% of U.S. Pop. 464 Counties with 15%+ Hispanic 10 Source: Pew Hispanic Center

  11. States with LargestHispanic Populations: 2010 In thousands Source: Analysis of the 2010 U.S. Census by the Pew Hispanic Center

  12. 70% to 89% growth 40% to 70% growth Less than 40% growth 90% growth or more Hispanic Population Growth: 2000-2010 Source: Analysis of the 2010 U.S. Census by the Pew Hispanic Center

  13. States with Greatest Hispanic Population Growth: 2000-2010 Source: Analysis of the 2010 U.S. Census by the Pew Hispanic Center

  14. The New Face of America (3) FACTORS THAT DRIVE THE GROWTH Asian Hispanic White White Black Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2010 American Community Survey

  15. The New Face of America Asian Hispanic White White Black Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2010 American Community Survey

  16. Hispanic Population is Younger 16 Source: Statistical Portrait of Hispanics in the United States, 2010, Pew Hispanic Center.

  17. Median Age of U.S. Hispanic Population, by Origin: 2010 Source: The 10 Largest Hispanic Origin Groups: Characteristics, Rankings, Top Counties, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  18. Birth Rates by Ethnicity 18 Source: National Center for Health Statistics, National Vital Statistics Reports: Births: Final Data for 2009, 2011

  19. Foreign Born Population by Race and Ethnicity 19 Source: Statistical Portrait of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States, 2010, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  20. Hispanic Births in U.S. Now Exceed Immigrants 20 Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

  21. Percent Foreign-Born Has Peaked 21 Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

  22. Asians Surpass Hispanics Among New Arrivals % of immigrants, by year of arrival, 2000-2010 Note: Based on total foreign-born population, including adults and children. Asians include mixed-race Asian population, regardless of Hispanic origin. Hispanics are of any race. 22 Source: 2010 American Community Survey

  23. Share of Foreign Born among the U.S. Hispanic Population, by Origin: 2010 Source: The 10 Largest Hispanic Origin Groups: Characteristics, Rankings, Top Counties, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  24. II Hispanic Educational Attainment

  25. Educational Attainment of 25-to-29 Year-olds: 2011 25 Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau’s October 2011 Current Population Survey

  26. Educational Attainment of Hispanics by Generation: 2011(25-29 year-olds) 26 Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau’s October 2011 Current Population Survey

  27. Education Characteristics of Recent Immigrants, by Race and Ethnicity: 2010 % among adults ages 18 and older Note: Recent immigrants refer to those who came to the U.S. in the three years prior to the survey date (since 2007). “College+” includes those who are either currently enrolled in a four-year college or graduate school or have completed their bachelor’s degree or advanced degree. 27 Source: 2010 American Community Survey

  28. Primary Language Use among Latinos 28 Source: 2011 National Survey of Latinos, Pew Hispanic Center

  29. The Importance of English and Spanish Do you think adult Hispanic immigrants need to learn English To succeed in the U.S.? How important is it to you that future generations of Hispanics living In the U.S. be able to speak Spanish? 29 Source: 2011 National Survey of Latinos, Pew Hispanic Center

  30. Share of U.S. Hispanic Population Ages 5 and Older Proficient in English, by Origin: 2010 Source: The 10 Largest Hispanic Origin Groups: Characteristics, Rankings, Top Counties, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  31. Hispanics Projected to be Large Source of Growth in School-Age Population 73 54 School-age Population (in millions) 28 11 Source: U.S. CensusBureau, Population Division, National Population Projections Released 2008

  32. Hispanics Projected to be the Largest School-Age Population by 2050 58% 38% 39% 20% 15% 11% 4% 6% Source: Analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, National Population Projections by the Pew Hispanic Center Released 2008

  33. Young Latinos are Most Likely to be HS Dropouts Percent of 16 to 24 year olds Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of Current Population Survey data from March 2009 Annual Social and Economic Supplement

  34. Share of Hispanic 18-24 Year-Olds Completing High School, 1972-2011 Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey and U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 1967 to 2009.

  35. Share of 18-24 Year-Olds Enrolled in College, 1967-2011 Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey and U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 1967 to 2009.

  36. Hispanic Share of Pre-K through 12th Grade Public School Enrollment and 18- to 24-Year-Old College Enrollment, 1972-2011 Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS), 2012 36

  37. Share of U.S. Hispanic Population Ages 25 and Older with a Bachelor’s Degree or More, by Origin: 2010 37 Source: The 10 Largest Hispanic Origin Groups: Characteristics, Rankings, Top Counties, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  38. Latinos Say A College Education Is Important % who agree that in order to get ahead in life these days, it’s necessary to get a college education Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample, Pew Hispanic Center; 2009 SDT America’s Changing Workforce Survey for general U.S. population

  39. …And Latino Parents Emphasize Going to College What do/did your parents think is/was the most important thing for you to do right after high school? Among Latinos ages 16 to 25 39 Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos, Pew Hispanic Center

  40. …Yet Educational Expectations Lag How much further in school do you plan to go? Among 18- to 25-year-olds Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample, Pew Hispanic Center; 2007 Generation Next Survey for all youth sample, People-Press 40

  41. Why Not Continue Your Education? Which of the following are reasons you have not continued your education? Percent of Latino youth ages 16 to 25 with a high school diploma or less, who are not enrolled and have no plans to return to school saying “Yes” 41 Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos, Pew Hispanic Center

  42. III Economic Trends

  43. Median Annual Personal Earnings, 2009 Note: Restricted to persons with positive earnings. Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from 2009 American Community Survey (1% IPUMS)

  44. Education and Income by Racial/Ethnic Group Note: Asians include mixed-race Asian population, regardless of Hispanic origin. Whites and blacks include only non-Hispanics. Hispanics are of any race. Household income is based on householders ages 18 and older; race and ethnicity are based on those of household head. % with a bachelor's degree or more, among ages 25 and older, 2010 Median household income,2010 44 Source: 2010 American Community Survey

  45. Median Household Income among U.S. Hispanic Population, by Origin: 2010 Source: The 10 Largest Hispanic Origin Groups: Characteristics, Rankings, Top Counties, Pew Hispanic Center, 2012

  46. Nearly a Quarter of Young Latinos Live in Poverty Percent of 16 to 25 year olds Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of Current Population Survey data from March 2009 Annual Social and Economic Supplement

  47. Number of Children in Poverty 1976-2010 In millions Source: Analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data by the Pew Hispanic Center

  48. Percentage of Children Born to Unwed Mothers % of births to unwed mothers Source: U.S. Census Bureau, National Center for Health Statistics, 2011

  49. Percentage Change in Median Net Worth of Households, 2005 to 2009 Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of Survey of Income and Program Participation data.

  50. Purchasing Power, 2000 and 2010 (upper bound estimates in billions of 2010 dollars) Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on 2010 Census data and the 2010 American Community Survey

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