Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org
Download
1 / 10

- PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 77 Views
  • Uploaded on

Craig Morris Petite Planète www.petiteplanete.org. Ukraine’s Energy Future Sep 13, 2012. “ Energiewende ” The German energy transition – what can other countries learn?. Craig Morris, Petite Planète , www.petiteplanete.org The German energy transition, Kiev. Ukraine’s Energy Future

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about '' - aletha


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org
Craig MorrisPetite Planètewww.petiteplanete.org

Ukraine’s Energy Future

Sep 13, 2012

“Energiewende”

The German energy transition – what can other countries learn?


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

Ukraine’s Energy Future

Sep 13, 2012

Renewables International: news in renewables in Germany and abroad every workday

www.renewablesinternational.net


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev1
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

Ukraine’s Energy Future

Sep 13, 2012

Website on German energy transition for Heinrich Böll Foundation end of October


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev2
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

Solar and PV already close to baseload demand; will cut into baseload within decade when targets are met.

Combined installed wind+PV will exceed peak demand by 25%


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev3
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

Not April Fools: Renewables already increasingly cut into baseload, such as on Sunday, April 1.


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev4
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

What happened at 4 pm on April 1?

Left: solar power production

Right: wind power

Visit EEX Transparency website


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev5
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

The result was negative prices at 4 pm.

Good: firms benefit from low wholesale prices thanks to RE

Bad: Investments in dispatchableconventional power less attractive


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev6
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

RE shaves peaks, lowering wholesale prices (merit-order effect).

Wind (light green) and solar (yellow) complement each other well.

Source: Bruno Burger, Fraunhofer ISE


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev7
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

RE shaves peaks, lowering wholesale prices (merit-order effect).

Wind (blue) and solar (orange) complement each other well.

Source: Bernard Chabot, Renewables International


Craig morris petite plan te www petiteplanete org the german energy transition kiev8
Craig Morris, Petite Planète, www.petiteplanete.orgThe German energy transition, Kiev

Conclusions:

If Ukraine has ~22GW summer peak demand, 11 GW of wind and 11 of solar in Ukraine should have similar effect

Germany remains power exporter; grid stability best in EU (world?); CO2 emissions dropped again in 2011 despite nuclear phase-out

  • In mid-2012, Germany had 30 GW of wind and 29 of PV, each roughly equal to 50% of average demand (60-70 GW)

  • At 50%, RE offsets peak and medium load, lowers wholesale prices

  • Above that level, RE increasingly cuts into baseload

  • Increasingly, RE power will have to be stored or lost

  • PV currently makes up 5.3% of power supply, so 10% is feasible, but more will increasingly require (seasonal) storage

  • Countries with lots of air-conditioning (USA) have greater summer than winter peaks, so larger share of PV is possible there

  • Wind now makes up around 8% in Germany, ~20% easily feasible (assuming grid integration)