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2008 Hurricane Season Forecast Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Florida Govern PowerPoint Presentation
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2008 Hurricane Season Forecast Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Florida Govern - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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2008 Hurricane Season Forecast Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Florida Governor’s Hurricane Conference May 14, 2008 2008 FORECAST AS OF 9 APRIL 2008 New April Forecast Predictors Feb-Mar SST 1` March SLP 2` EQ. 1` ` Feb-Mar SST

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

2008 Hurricane Season Forecast

Phil Klotzbach

Department of Atmospheric Science

Colorado State University

Florida Governor’s Hurricane Conference

May 14, 2008

slide3

New April Forecast Predictors

Feb-Mar SST

1`

March

SLP

2`

EQ.

1`

`

Feb-Mar SST

slide8

2008

Forecast Schedule

slide9

PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS FOR 2008

  • Entire U.S. coastline – 69% (average for last century is 52%)
  • 2) U.S. East Coast including Peninsula Florida - 45%(average for last century is 31%)
  • 3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 44% (average for last century is 30%)
  • 4) Expected above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean
new landfalling hurricane web application

New Landfalling Hurricane Web Application

Currently Available at the following URL:

http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane

In partnership with the GeoGraphics Laboratory – Bridgewater State College, Bridgewater MA

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REGION 2 - TEXAS & LOUISIANA

H

A

J

L

C

O

J

C

V

C

(b)

(c)

(a)

future work
Future Work
  • Gust Probabilities
  • User-Selected Probabilities (Daily, Weekly Periods)