Applying 2008 deer 09 11 planning values to the 2002 secret surplus study
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Applying 2008 DEER 09-11 Planning Values to the 2002 Secret Surplus Study . 18 May 2009 Peter Lai, CPUC Energy Division. Objectives of Analysis . Estimate how the 2008 DEER 09-11 planning values would impact the results of the 2002 Secret Surplus Study (02 SSS)

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Applying 2008 deer 09 11 planning values to the 2002 secret surplus study l.jpg

Applying 2008 DEER 09-11 Planning Values to the 2002 Secret Surplus Study

18 May 2009

Peter Lai, CPUC Energy Division


Objectives of analysis l.jpg
Objectives of Analysis Surplus Study

  • Estimate how the 2008 DEER 09-11 planning values would impact the results of the 2002 Secret Surplus Study (02 SSS)

    • key work paper for the 2004 adopted goals

    • focus adjustments on gross for lighting (all CFLs and linear fluorescents), NTG for all

  • Estimate both the gross and net values for the study when adjusted for 2008 DEER

    • 02 SSS reported 10 year net electric potential


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Estimation Process Undertaken Surplus Study

  • Use 02 SSS statewide gross measure annual results for each of ten years

  • Add adjustment factors for DEER value differences from underlying values:

    • kWh, kW, negative therms ratios for main lighting measures (CFL and linear fluorescents)

    • NTG values for all measures in DEER

  • Develop new annual gross and net values for each of the ten years

    • Aggregate the adjusted annual net and gross values by measure group and sector

    • Reduce to IOU portions of statewide values







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