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Transitioning Capabilities between NASA Research and NOAA Operations. Stan Wilson IGST-10 Nov 14-16, 2005 (rev 29). Near Term. Transitioning between NASA and NOAA has been identified as a national issue Congressional language in the NOAA FY05 budget
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Transitioning Capabilities between NASA Research and NOAA Operations Stan Wilson IGST-10 Nov 14-16, 2005 (rev 29)
Near Term • Transitioning between NASA and NOAA has been identified as a national issue • Congressional language in the NOAA FY05 budget • “Provide NOAA the capability to transition NASA remote sensed ocean measurements into operational products for the user community” • Observations explicitly mentioned: “ocean winds from scatterometers,…sea level…from altimeters, and…ocean color” • An FY05 Implementation Plan for a $4M R&O Program has been developed and implemented • Initially funded as a one-year effort, the $4M has been continued in the FY06 budget
Longer Term • Establish a formal process – a Transition Plan – to facilitate the transitioning specific capabilities* between NASA and NOAA…by the end of the year • This is one of the Administrator’s priorities for NOAA • This is to be accomplished via a NASA/NOAA Joint Working Group for R&O led by Chet Koblinsky for NOAA • Progress will ultimately depend on success in the budget process – the first opportunity is FY08 * The term, capabilities, includes the full range of activities extending from space hardware, calibration & validation, communications, ground data system including archival, timely access to data, assimilation of data into models, and the generation of associated analyses and forecasts
Sea Surface Height Objective • Transition satellite altimetry from NASA research to NOAA operations by implementing Jason-3 Status • NASA has provided 14 years of high-quality SSH, with TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason-1, but will not continue support beyond Jason-2 Identified Tasks • Justify user requirements for operational SSH – hurricane intensity, coastal sea level, S/I, climate analyses, global sea level rise... Overall Issue • Build the case for a Jason-3 new start in FY08 budget with European partner
HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NO.19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005 REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATE THAT...THE WIND FIELD IS EXPANDING...DATA FROM THE NOAA JET CURRENTLY SAMPLING THE ENVIRONMENT...INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPWARD TO ABOUT 200 MB AND IT IS SURROUNDED BY A LARGE SCALE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE. THIS PATTERN...IN COMBINATION WITH THE HIGH OCEANIC HEAT CONTENT...FANCY WORDS FOR A WARM OCEAN...ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA...CALLS FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING...THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO BE AN INTENSE AND DANGEROUS HURRICANE HEADING TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... Left source: NASA/JAXA TRMM TMI; right: NASA/CNES T/P & Jason-1, USN GFO, and ESA ENVISAT Figures courtesy of Gustavo Goni, NOAA/OAR/AOML
These are the actual data fields used in the SHIPS model at the Tropical Prediction Center to aid in forecasting the intensity of Hurricane Katrina. The top figure is the Reynolds SST field in degrees C. The bottom is the estimated Oceanic Heat Content derived from a combination of SST analysis fields, blended Sea Surface Height Anomaly fields from the Jason-1 and GFO altimeters, and a hurricane seasonal oceanic climatology (for June-Nov). Images courtesy of: Nick Shay, RSMAS/ U of Miami & Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC
Surface Vector Winds Objective • Identify the most appropriate path for NOAA to collect operational surface vector winds (SVW) Status • NASA QuikSCAT data have been used operationally by NWS for 4 years • Post-QuikSCAT SVW are to be provided by NPOESS/CMIS, but its performance is predicated on an evaluation of WindSat Identified Tasks • Ensure timely access by NWS to WindSat SVW to enable user evaluation • Refine QuikSCAT products – rain flag & spatial resolution Overall Issue • To the extent that CMIS is inadequate, explore options for flight of a follow-on to QuikSCAT – one option: a NASA C/Ku-band scatterometer with microwave radiometer
Challenges • $1B over-run in the $5B NPOESS Program • Next generation of GOES is in development • Impact of Moon, Mars & Shuttle programs on Earth science at NASA