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2012 Presidential Poll Kenya Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi Samburu Room January 12 2012 PowerPoint Presentation
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2012 Presidential Poll Kenya Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi Samburu Room January 12 2012. Introduction. The survey was necessitated by the coming General election in 2012 The survey sort to establish the Presidential candidate’s popularity

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2012 Presidential Poll Kenya Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi Samburu Room January 12 2012


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Presentation Transcript
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2012 Presidential Poll Kenya

Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

Samburu Room

January 12 2012

introduction
Introduction
  • The survey was necessitated by the coming General election in 2012
  • The survey sort to establish the Presidential candidate’s popularity
  • The polls were conducted in countrywide on Monday 12th December 2012 and Monday 2rd of January 2012.
  • The sample size considered was 2300 out of which 94% turned out to be registered voters
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The respondents were proportionally distributed in majority of counties with respect to the population and geographical location.

  • The questionnaire captured different issues with sub issues that are compared in these surveys
  • The survey was sponsored by ISS Africa in partnership with CPR International.
  • Random sampling and quota sampling methods were employed
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The degree of confidence was 99% for the survey results.

  • The survey calculated margin of error of +/-3%
  • The response rate was 98% for the questionnaires administered
objectives of the survey
Objectives of the Survey
  • Presidential candidates popularity, strengths and weakness
  • Political party popularity in the country and at the county level.
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY GENDER

  • Most approachable gender in terms of politics is male.
  • Females are a bit conservative in terms of politics.
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY AGE

  • This data can be interpreted to mean that majority of the respondents or population are youthful and hence as indicated by the registered voters from IEBC young people will have the say in the coming general election.
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY VOTER’S CARD

  • Validation point of this survey and the finding of the survey can be considered the opinion of the registered voters largely
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY RELIGION

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY EMPLOYMENT

  • Majority of the respondents were self employed.
  • The unemployed rate is high at 26.8 % this shows that unemployment needs to be tackled seriously as an entity
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT

  • This shows that the awareness level of this country is high and hence a presidential candidates should tackle real issues in the upcoming campaigns rather than dwell on propagandas’.
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

SAMPLING BY VOTING IN GENERAL ELECTIONS

  • This question tends most of the times to be MISREPRESENTED as its shows the willingness to vote rather than the actual people who will vote.
  • This is so largely by the fact that people are held up by other “Important” engagements.
reason for not voting other aspirants
REASON FOR NOT VOTING OTHER ASPIRANTS

ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – NAIROBI

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, NairobiPOPULAR CANDIDATE - CENTRAL

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – RIFTVALLEY

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – WESTERN

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – EASTERN

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – NYANZA

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – COAST

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR CANDIDATE – NORTH EASTERN

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

POPULAR POLITICAL PARTY

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

Political Parties to watch..

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

NATIONAL POPULARITY

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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

NATIONAL POPULARITY

  • Turning out to be a 2 Horse Race
  • RAILA ODINGA Losing Ground why?
  • MIGUNA MIGUNA ISSUE
  • ODM ELECTION WRANGLES
  • UHURU KENYATTA – Gaining ground, why?
  • STRONG RECOVERY FOR SHILLING
  • HAGUE SYMPATHY
  • REVAMPING OF KANU
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ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi

The gains and losses