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Existing statistical system and the need of NSDS Uttam Narayan Malla Central Bureau of Statistics

Existing statistical system and the need of NSDS Uttam Narayan Malla Central Bureau of Statistics. Historical Background. Prior to 1951, Audyogik Byaparik Samachar Sangraha Adda (Office of Industrial and Trade Data Collection) and Janasankhya Goswara (Central Office of Population )

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Existing statistical system and the need of NSDS Uttam Narayan Malla Central Bureau of Statistics

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  1. Existing statistical system and the need of NSDSUttam Narayan MallaCentral Bureau of Statistics

  2. Historical Background • Prior to 1951, AudyogikByaparikSamacharSangrahaAdda (Office of Industrial and Trade Data Collection) and JanasankhyaGoswara (Central Office of Population) • Department of Statistics, established in 1951, conducted 1952-54 population census

  3. Statistical act, 1958 (2015) transformed the department into Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) in 1959. • The statistical act, envisioned the system to be more centralized, • Due to the growing demand for official statistics, the system gradually turned into a decentralized one.

  4. CBS and other Statistical agencies CBS • Conduct statistical operations • Coordinate statistical activities • Develop statistical manpower

  5. Activities of CBS • Decennial population, agricultural censuses • Quinquinnial census of manufacturing establishments • Periodic surveys

  6. Periodic surveys • Nepal Living Standard Survey -III, 2010, • Nepal Labor Force Survey 2008, • Nepal Vegetable Survey 2010, • Nepal Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey 2010 (two regions) • Annual price surveys, • Distributive trade survey, • Survey of land transport, • Freight margin survey and • Other several surveys of service activities

  7. Other agencies Ministry of Agricultural Development (MOAD) compiles data on • production, area under and yield rates of various cereals and horticultural crops, • data on livestock and livestock products Ministry of Education (MOE) compiles data on • student's enrollment, teachers and schools which very often vary from the estimates of Census and surveys.

  8. Ministry of Health and Population • Conducts Nepal Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) every five years • Service statistics annually Ministry of Finance and departments under compiles data on Revenue and expenditures.

  9. Nepal Rasta Bank (NRB) • NRB functions under the Nepal Rastra Bank act. • Compile several economic statistics such as, CPI, WPI, external merchandise trade, other current and capital transactions etc.

  10. Ministry of Local Development • Compiles data on vital events which is mandated by the local self governance act. • However, data collected under civil registration are grossly underreported and used for legal purposes. • Compiles data on expenditures of local governments

  11. Underlying problems in the system Data gaps • Many social and demographic data are not available. • Current data on birth, death, marriage, migration are not available because of the limitations of the civil registration system. • Quarterly national accounts is yet to be established. • Estimate of trade in services are not available yet. • Many of the data not disaggregated down to the local level.

  12. Data inconsistencies • Enrollment rate of students vary between survey data and administrative data. • Data on external trade varies by sources e.g. Department of Custom, Nepal Rastra Bank and Trade Promotion Centre. • National accounts data published by the world bodies are seldom not consistent with the data published by the CBS. • Inconsistencies arise because of the differences in concept, definition, classifications and methodology and reference period

  13. Inadequate skilled statistical manpower • Most agencies (except CBS, NRB, some ministries) do not have trained statisticians. • In many government organizations, staff engaged in statistical activities are recruited under different services • Transferred frequently due to the nature of their service group. • Very few staff in BSOsare IT friendly.

  14. Analysis of the existing statistical system Strength • Over 100 officer statisticians who hold master degree and international training in official statistics. • Many offices (CBS, Ministries and NRB) are equipped with ICTs (computers, laptops and necessary software). • Experiences of statistical operations (censuses, surveys) • Good Image of CBS and other agencies in international arena • Statistical awareness among data users • High response rate of surveys • Legal basis • 33 BSOs in districts

  15. Weaknesses • Weak coordination (producer/user, among producers, among dev. partners) • Limited trained manpower in many ministries • Weak data delivery system • Low status of CBS • Act not amended for long time • Absence of survey clearance system • CNSP not fully implemented • Underutilization of administrative data

  16. Opportunities • Favorable environment among development partners • Support of world bodies • Bureaucracy positive towards evidence based decision making • Statistical awareness increased among people • Government's vision of graduating the country from LDC to a developing

  17. Threats/Challenges • Political instability • Distraction in government services and brain drain • Statistical officers of the same cohort • Statistical service not widened • Demand for more disaggregated data

  18. Need of NSDS Substantial changes in the system is required • to overcome the weaknesses of the existing statistical system and • to cater the growing demand for statistics,.

  19. A new strategy to develop statistics is required to support the government's target to transform the country from the status of 'Least Developed Country' to 'a developing country'. • United Nations, IMF and other international bodies have recommended statistical standards to be maintained by the member countries.

  20. Therefore, a new NSDS should create an environment to provide reliable evidences of the changes being taken place in the country. • To optimally use the human and financial resources for the development of statistics and maintain the strength of the system mentioned above.

  21. Tentatively, the strategies should provide roadmap to place Nepal in the frontline regarding statistics development in the SAARC region.

  22. Therefore strategies should help to: • continue to update benchmark through censuses and periodic surveys • focus statistical operations that generate current data required for social and economic indicators, • develop in-house capacity to undertake statistical operations, • develop mechanism to coordinate agencies involved in statistical activities, (producer -users, producer-providers) • create an environment to streamline external assistances in statistics, • to optimally use human and financial resources

  23. The strategy should address: • The trust of respondents or data providers upon CBS or statistical agencies, (confidentiality of individual data) • Should suggest for new act to address the changing context and also use of ICT, • Management of disaggregated data, • Help produce core set of social and economic data recommended by UNSD • Maintain standard suggested under DQAF/IMF

  24. Thanks.

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