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Nissan Motor Company, Ltd. for Student Managed Investment Portfolio by Michael Gossner Outline of Presentation Company Snapshot Company Outlook News and Events Industry Comparison and Outlook Financial and Risk Evaluation Recommendation Company Snapshot

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nissan motor company ltd

Nissan Motor Company, Ltd.

for

Student Managed Investment Portfolio

by

Michael Gossner

outline of presentation
Outline of Presentation
  • Company Snapshot
  • Company Outlook
  • News and Events
  • Industry Comparison and Outlook
  • Financial and Risk Evaluation
  • Recommendation
company snapshot
Company Snapshot
  • Stock: Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (ADR)
  • Ticker: NSANY
  • Industry: Auto Makers
  • 52 Week Range: $12.76 - $16.70
  • Price as of 03/06/03: $13.96
company snapshot4
Company Snapshot
  • Designs, produces and sells more than 2.5 million passenger cars and commercial vehicles in more than 190 countries.
  • In April of 2000 the company implemented the “Nissan Revival Plan.” Upon attainment of the goals, the Company embarked upon NISSAN 180
  • Major production sites - Japan, United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and Spain.
company snapshot5
Company Snapshot

S&P 500

Nissan

company outlook
Company Outlook

NISSAN 180

company outlook7
Company Outlook
  • Renault - Nissan Alliance

Renault Vel Satis with Engine

Nissan 32.5 Liter V-6 Engine

news and recent events
News and Recent Events
  • December 2002 - Domestic production, overseas production, domestic sales and exports all rose over 2001's levels. First time in 13 years these four indexes have simultaneously surpassed the previous year's results.
  • January 2003 - Nissan's domestic production, overseas production, domestic sales and exports all rose over the same month last year, marking the first time in four months, since September 2002, that these four indexes have simultaneously registered year-on-year growth.
news and recent events9
News and Recent Events
  • January 2003 - Combined Renault and Nissan sales came to 5,139,505 units in 2002, up 2.9% over 2001.Nissan and Renault sold a total of 2,735,530 and 2,403,975 vehicles, respectively. The Renault-Nissan Alliance global market share came to 9.1% (4.2% for the Renault group and 4.9% for Nissan), ranking the Alliance among the world's five leading automakers.
news and recent events10
News and Recent Events
  • February 2003 - Announced that its patented pre-crash seatbelt technology will be made available to competitors through a licensing process.
news and recent events11
News and Recent Events
  • February 2003 - Announced the domestic launch of the all-new Teana, which has been developed around the concept of "a luxury sedan for sophisticated drivers."
news and recent events12
News and Recent Events
  • February 2003 - Announced the domestic launch of the fully redesigned Skyline Coupe.  Models equipped with automatic and manual transmission were put on the market across the country.
news and recent events13
News and Recent Events
  • January 2003 - Nissan reveals all-new 2004 full-size truck and Triant concept at NAIAS
news and recent events14
News and Recent Events
  • January 2003 - Nissan Reveals All-New 2004 Maxima and Quest, Infiniti FX45 at NAIAS
industry outlook
Industry Outlook

University of Michigan - Auto sales should top 16.6 million units this year [2002]; retreat only slightly to 16.5 million units in 2003 and reach 16.6 million units in 2004 once more. Sales should remain "fairly steady”

  • IRN Inc. - Zero-percent financing automakers have offered over the past 12 months has lost its marketing punch. Ford an GM have acknowledged that sales have gone soft.
industry outlook16
Industry Outlook
  • "It's profitless prosperity that we've got going on here…" - Michael Robinet, CSM Worldwide
  • The biggest issue facing automakers is what David Cole, Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Mich., calls the industry's "heinous competition."
industry comparison
Industry Comparison

Stock Mkt Cap Sales

Nissan Motor ADR33,065.0 49,396

Industry Average 5,507 12,081

Toyota Motor ADR 88,421 114,133

Honda Motor ADR 35,371 60,911

DaimlerChrysler AG 29,376 136,142

General Motors 17,525 184,057

Ford Motor 14,203 163,518

financial analysis
Financial Analysis

Value Line Estimations

Nissan Revival Plan

Nissan 180

financial analysis24
Financial Analysis

Nissan 180 Update

Operating Income (1st Half FY 2002) - 84.5% increase from 1st half FY 2001

Consolidated Operating Margin (1st Half FY 2002) - Industry Leading 10.6%

Revenues (1st Half FY 2002) - 10.3% Increase

Global Sales Volume (1st Half FY 2002) - 7.5% Increase

Net Income (1st Half FY 2002) - 24.9% Increase

financial analysis25
Financial Analysis

Data Taken From Value Lin and Marketgude

financial analysis valuation29
Financial Analysis - Valuation
  • Basic Stock Valuation - $21.35
  • Free Cash Flow Valuation - $20.21
  • Valuation By Comparables - $21.77
  • ValuePro.Net - $24.95
  • Average Intrinsic Value - $22.07
risk analysis
Risk Analysis

RiskGrade: 118

Minimum:109

Maximum:195

Average:158

76% Of all U.S. Tickers

Are More Risky Than

Nissan

recommendation
Recommendation

Buy (To Be Continued..)

  • Strong Performance Resulting from Nissan Revival Plan
  • Strong Expected Performance from Nissan 180
  • Industry Outlook favors International Auto- Makers over Domestic Producers
  • Undervalued Stock and Solid Financials