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Significance of Experimental Results. 8-4. Warm Up. Lesson Presentation. Lesson Quiz. Holt McDougal Algebra 2. Holt Algebra 2. Warm Up. The box-and-whisker plot shows the test scores in Mrs. Howard’s first period math class.

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  1. Significance of Experimental Results 8-4 Warm Up Lesson Presentation Lesson Quiz Holt McDougal Algebra 2 Holt Algebra 2

  2. Warm Up The box-and-whisker plot shows the test scores in Mrs. Howard’s first period math class. 1. Find the minimum, maximum, median, and quartile values for the data. minimum: 82; 1stquartile: 88; median: 90; 3rd quartile: 93; maximum: 98

  3. Warm Up : Continued The following is a list of test scores from Mrs. Howard’s second period math class: 82, 83, 85, 87, 87, 87, 89, 90, 91, 95, 97, 97. 2. Find the mean, rounded to the nearest whole number. 89 3. Draw a box plot for the data. 70 80 90 100

  4. Objectives Use simulations and hypothesis testing to compare treatments from a randomized experiment.

  5. Vocabulary hypothesis testing null hypothesis

  6. Hypothesis testingis used to determine whether the difference in two groups is likely to be caused by chance.

  7. Hypothesis testing begins with an assumption called the null hypothesis. The null hypothesis states that there is no difference between the two groups being tested. The purpose of hypothesis testing is to use experimental data to test the viability of the null hypothesis.

  8. Helpful Hint The word null means “zero,” so the null hypothesis is that the difference between the two groups is zero.

  9. Example 1 : Analyzing a Controlled Experiment A researcher is testing whether a certain medication for raising glucose levels is more effective at higher doses. In a random trial, fasting glucose levels of 5 patients being treated at a normal dose (Group A) and 5 patients being treated at a high dose (Group B) were recorded. The glucose levels in mmol/L are shown below. A. State the null hypothesis for the experiment. The glucose levels of the drug will be the same for the control group (A) and the treatment group (B).

  10. Example 1: Continued B. Compare the results for the control group and the treatment group. Do you think that the researcher has enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis? The minimum, maximum, median, and quartile values are as shown in the diagram below. There is a small difference in the two groups that is likely to be caused by chance. If anything, the treatment group actually shows a tendency toward higher glucose levels. The researcher cannot reject the null hypothesis, which means that the medication is probably just as effective at the normal dose as it is at the high dose.

  11. Example 1: Continued 4.0 5.0 6.0

  12. You Try! Example 1 A teacher wants to know if students in her morning class do better on a test than students in her afternoon class. She compares the test scores of 10 randomly chosen students in each class. Morning class: 76,81,71, 80,88,66,79,67,85,68 Afternoon class: 80,91,74,92,80,80,88,67,75,78 a. State the null hypothesis. The students in the morning class will have the same test scores as the students in the afternoon class

  13. You Try! Example 1 continued b. Compare the results of the two groups. Does the teacher have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis? Yes; there is a large difference in the test scores of the two classes. The teacher does have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, so she can conclude that students in her afternoon class perform better on tests.

  14. If we want to compare a statistic in a sample to a parameter claimed to be true of a population, in order to potentially reject the claim we use what is called a “z-test.”

  15. If the sample contains at least 30, use a z-test The null hypothesis is that there is no difference in the two groups. If the sample mean is close to the population mean, then the z-value is close to 0.

  16. Using a Z-Test: We will assume a 95% confidence level for all our calculations If the absolute value of z is greater than 1.96, then reject the Null Hypothesis. If the absolute value of z is less than 1.96, then fail to reject the Null Hypothesis To calculate z-value:

  17. Example 2 : Using a Z-Test A test prep company claims that its private tutoring can boost scores to an average of 2000. In a random sample of 49 students who were privately tutored, the average was 1910, with a standard deviation of 150. Is there enough evidence to reject the claim? The z–value is –4.2, and | z | > 1.96. So, there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis. You can say with 95% confidence that the company’s claim about private tutoring is false.

  18. You Try! Example 2 A tax preparer claims an average refund of $3000. In a random sample of 40 clients, the average refund was $2600, and the standard deviation was $300. Is there enough evidence to reject his claim? Calculate the Z-value: 2600-3000 -400 ≈ ≈ -8.43 47.43 √40 The z–value is –8.43, and | z | > 1.96. So, there is enough evidence to reject the claim of the tax preparer. 300

  19. Why would you use a z-test? In order to compare a statistic in a sample to a parameter claimed to be true of a population, to potentially reject the claim.

  20. Practice C: Significance of Experimental Results

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