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Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Forecast Applications. Suzanne Lenihan. NWS S&T Committee September 17, 2002. Outline. Team Composition Vision Key Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Summary. Forecast Applications Team Composition. Suzanne Lenihan (NWS/OST)

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Science and Technology Infusion Plan

for

Forecast Applications

Suzanne Lenihan

NWS S&T Committee

September 17, 2002


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Outline

  • Team Composition

  • Vision

  • Key Gaps

  • Key Solutions

  • Outstanding R & D Needs

  • Summary


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Forecast Applications Team Composition

  • Suzanne Lenihan (NWS/OST)

  • Stephan Smith (NWS/OST)

  • Wendy Levine (NWS/SPP)

  • Carl Bullock (OAR/FSL)

  • Jason Tuell (NWS/OST)


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Forecast ApplicationsVision

Forecasters Supported by an Array of High Performance Tools and Cutting Edge Applications To Provide High Impact Forecasts and Warnings


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Forecast Applications

Key Gaps

Limited Ability to:

  • Collaborate With Other Field Offices and Centers

  • Detect, Analyze, Monitor, and Forecast

  • Generate Digital Products

  • Visualize the Atmosphere

  • Verify Digital Products


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Deployment

OTE

DTE

R&D

Forecast Applications Key Solutions

* FxConnect

Collaborative

Merge WWA / Warngen

DamCat

Ensemble Based Apps

Detect, Analyze, Monitor, and Forecast

Metro-Area Snow Nowcaster

SAFEAIR

SAFESEAS

SNOW

SAFEFIRE

Regional Fire Risk

Assessment System

Merge RiverPro w/

WWA & Warngen

* IFPS

Product Generation

FxNet Proposal

Visualization

Daily Forecast Critique

Verification

09

11

12

10

08

05

06

04

03

02

07


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Forecast ApplicationsOutstanding R & D Needs

  • Enhance Collaborative Forecasting Techniques (Video Box)

  • Develop Advanced Decision Support Systems (Smart Systems, Fuzzy Fusion)

  • Enhance Product Generation (Human Factors)

  • Improve Visualization Techniques (3D, GIS, Virtual)

  • Improve Verification Methods (Spatial/Temporal)


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Forecast ApplicationsSummary

Vision

Forecasters Equipped with Cutting Edge Tools To Provide Best Forecasts and Warnings in Digital Era

  • R&D Needs

  • Video Box

  • Smart Systems, Fuzzy Fusion

  • Human Factors

  • 3D, GIS, Virtual

  • Spatial/Temporal

Increasing Performance

  • Improve Collaborative Tools

  • Enhance Decision Assistance

  • Expand Interactive Forecast Preparation System Capabilities

  • Incorporate Visualization Techniques

  • Improve Verification Methods

2002

2007

2012

2020