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25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon

25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon. THE USE OF NWP PRODUCTS AT THE PORTUGUESE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE. Teresa Abrantes Instituto de Meteorologia - Portugal. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon. Observation Network - IM.

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25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon

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  1. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon THE USE OF NWP PRODUCTS AT THE PORTUGUESE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE Teresa Abrantes Instituto de Meteorologia - Portugal

  2. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Observation Network - IM • 93 automatic stations (24 + 69) • - 78 mainland • - 9 Azores • - 6 Madeira • 3 radiossonde stations • receiver and processing WS-satellites • 1 radar (in a near future 2 more) • lightning detection network

  3. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon The Forecasting Centres General and Maritime Aeronautic Weather Watch, Forecasting and Information Centre - VPI -Lisbon- Aeronautical Centre (airport) Regional Centre Azores Porto Faro Madeira -Azores-

  4. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon General Forecasts • Nowcasting • Very short range forecasts (12 h) • Short range forecasts (D, D1-D3) • - Regional forecasts (11 regions) • Medium range forecasts (D4-D6) • Outlook D7-D9

  5. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Sea State Forecasts • High seas • Shallow waters • Onshore waters

  6. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Delivery of the products • Autofax /manual fax • Telex (maritime network) • E-mail attached files • Dedicated links (TV, Air Force Meteo, Southland-Nato) • Internet (public and protected Web pages) • TeleTempo (value added telephone) • FaxTempo (value added fax)

  7. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Briefings Civil Protection and Fireman Service Videoconference Regional Centre in Azores Aeronautical Centre

  8. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon NWP Products ECMWF GLOBAL MODELS MetOffice LAM ALADIN Arpège • Charts processed by MAGICS (routine package) • Fields visualised with • METVIEW (ECMWF) • VISMET (IM) • ARCO IRIS (IM) • GÉNIO (IM-ALADIN)

  9. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon NWP Products - Sea Input: ECMWF 10m wind MAR3G Model (IM) High seas Shallow waters MAR3G (Ray model) Parametric description of sea state • Significant height • Mean direction • Mean period ECMWF WAM output

  10. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon MSLP+Wet bulb potential temperature 850 hPa MSLP+relative humidity 700 hPa Vertical motion+relative humidity 700hPa MSLP+wind+T2m E CMW F

  11. Plumes 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon ECMWF - EPS products • Stamp maps • Probability charts • EPSgrams • Other products available on http://wms.ecmwf.int

  12. >10 m/s >15 m/s Forecast probabilities Wind > 1 mm > 5 mm > 10 mm > 20 mm Precipitation > - 8° > - 4° > + 4° > + 8° 850hPa temperature anomaly

  13. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Meteogram - Lisboa

  14. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Forecasted Tephigram Post-processing parameters • CAPE • CIN • LI • TPW

  15. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon METVIEW processing • DIAGNOSIS: Z 500 hPa + wind VT H+24 + IR image at 12 UTC Z 300 hPa + WV at 12 UTC

  16. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon LAM - ALADIN • Area: 44.8N, 12.2W, 35.1N, 1.7W • Hor. Res: 12.7 km • Runs: 00 and 12 UTC • Forecasts up to H+48 T2m • 1h steps • 1000, 950, 925, 900, 850, 800, • 700, 600, 500, 400, 300, 250, • 200, 150, 100 hPa (15 levels) 10m wind • Surface and altitude parameters 950 hPa RH

  17. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon LAM - ALADIN • Short range forecast (D, D+1, D+2) • General and regional forecasts Use of ALADIN at the Weather Forecasting Centre • Special forecasts • FOREST FIRES • special regional forecasts • wind field • tendency of the FWI

  18. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon ALADIN – Derivated Products Fire Weather Index (FWI) tendency FWI - Tend24 Tend 24 = FWI (H+24) – FWI (H+00) FWI tendency between D and D+1 FWI - Tend48 Tend48= FWI (H+48) – FWI (H+24) FWI tendency between D+1 e D+2 Values available in each point of a regular grid in latitude and longitude The graphic presentation of these values is done automatically, in order to obtain two charts, with those tendencies (DIF24 e DIF48) of the fire weather index FWI, daily.

  19. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon LAM - ALADIN Future at IM: • Post-processing parameters • Forecasted tephigram • MAR3G based on the wind field - ALADIN Future ?? • Short-range EPS ?

  20. WGCEF Meeting - 5Oct2002 - Lisbon What is the decision of the forecaster ? ALADIN ECMWF RUN: 30Set2003 12UTC / H+12 01Out2003 00UTC

  21. WGCEF Meeting - 5Oct2002 - Lisbon What is the decision of the forecaster ? ECMWF ALADIN RUN: 30Set2003 12UTC / H+48 02Out2003 12UTC

  22. 25th EWGLAM and 10th SRNWP Meeting - 6-9Oct2003 - Lisbon Thank you for your attention

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