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Tomorrow’s Technology… …It’s Called Singularity. John H. Lundin, MBA, PhD John@AskDrJohn.com 408-856-6112. Complexity. #2-Begin with the end in mind!. What does your life look like +25?. What do the movies think ? How accurate is that view?
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Tomorrow’s Technology……It’s Called Singularity John H. Lundin, MBA, PhD John@AskDrJohn.com 408-856-6112 Complexity #2-Begin with the end in mind! All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
What does your life look like +25? • What do the movies think? • How accurate is that view? • What could you do if you received tomorrows newspaper today? • Can we see into the future? • …are you ready for the best vision of the future we have? All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Purpose • To organize technologies so that they make more sense (SRI and JHL Typology) • To populate the technology typology with current hot technology domains and research on the horizon of tomorrow (Kurzweil’s Singularity) • To motivate your exploration with examples from the populated diagrams • To build an education and career path All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
JHL Technology Typology • Materials Technology • Process Technology • Information Technology Information Technology Design & Specifications Informational Properties & Characteristics Materials Technology Process Technology Solution Functional Properties & Characteristics All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
JHL Computing Typology • Hardware: • Physics >> Computer Engineering • Software: • Mathematics >> Computer Science • Solutions: • Input, Process, Output, Feedback, Storage… • Purposeful behavior: • Business, administration, communication, health, activity… • Movement toward Goals and Objectives All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
When Will “Humans Transcend Biology?” • Singularity: “A future period during which the pace of technological change will be so rapid, its impact so deep, that human life will be irreversibly transformed.” • Combination of four technology domains: • Computing • Genetics/Genomics • Nanotechnology • Robotics All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Combinations of all Technologies All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Examples • Meet Ray Kurzweil… What has he done? • Computing: • Input >> Process >> Output >> Feedback >> Storage • Genetics/Genomics: • The Archon X Prize for Genomics • Nanotechnology: • Nanomanufacturing • Attack cancer cells • Robotics: • Robotic Fish • Shape-shifting Robots • Tommy Junior … and Boss (DARPA Urban Challenge) All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Where Do Domains Overlap? Genomics Computing Robotics NanoTech All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Where are we today? • Computing: a $1,000 computer has¹ • 2005: brain power of an insect • 2020: brain power of a human • 2045: brain power of all humans • Here is where GNR research and development are today! Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near, p. 70. All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Moore’s Law (revised) All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Six Epochs of Evolution² We are about here… Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near, p. 15+. All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Does Singularity Impact Ecommerce? All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin 23Dominga
Where Can I Learn More? • Technological Singularity: General Overview • Tracking technological advances • The Law of Accelerating Returns • Kurzweil’s resources and information • Singularity… the movie All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin
Summary • Three different types of technology: materials, process, and information • Three sources of the information technology education: Computer Engineering, Computer Science and Business/Organizational needs • Four simultaneous, hot/high-impact technology domains: computing, genetics/genomics, nanotech, robotics • We are now late in the fourth epoch… • Singularity is the transformation where all the pieces come together and we hit hyperspeed… • You need to pick an education/career/domain that complements and adds value to this inevitable transformation • There are thousands of ecommerce opportunities that are yet to be discovered in these new areas… find one and make your fortune! • …be on the right train for your future • …because this ride will speed up tremendously… before it ever slows down!! All Rights Reserved -- John H. Lundin