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China, Russia new world currency (example: SDR) Dynamics of Payment Balance in the USA ... GDP by Purchasing-Power-Parity of world leading countries in 2008, ...

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    2. Consumption and Savings Problems high consumption level hypothec boom low savings level (mainly USA) Barrier 1: restriction of capital in hypothec Barrier 2: risk retail banking and rate of savings

    3. Monetary Problem World GDP2008= $60 689 bln – nominal = $69 000 bln - by PPP World Trade2008˜$14 000 bln FDI ˜ $1 000 bln

    4. USD Problem USD: - world currency USD: - national currency Senyorage Debt – $11 000 bln China, Russia – new world currency (example: SDR)

    6. Dynamics of Payment Balance in the USA

    7. Creditors Ranking of the USA Government Treasury, $ bln

    13. Derivatives Growth (bln of contracts)

    17. Demographic disbalance

    18. GDP by Purchasing-Power-Parity of world leading countries in 2008,$ bln. (Belarus – $118,9 billion)

    21. Consensus Prognosis GDP Growth

    22. Economic Development Indicators of particular countries in 2008

    23. BUSINESS IN BELARUS

    24. Business in Belarus Human and Labour Resources

    25. Business in BelarusUnemployment rate Source: IMF

    26. Business in Belarus GDP Growth

    27. Business in BelarusEnergy Shock

    28. Business in BelarusThe secret of success: exportProblem: high import

    29. Business in BelarusThe secret of success: export

    30. Business in BelarusThe secret of success: growth of agricultural production

    31. Business in BelarusThe secret of success: export of agricultural production

    32. Business in BelarusThe secret of success: knowledgeex. Export of IT-service in 1994 - 2008

    33. FDI dynamics in Belarus in 2001-2008, mln. $

    34. Largest M&A 2007-2008 GazProm is in the process of acquiring a control share holding of BelTransGaz ($2, 5 billion) Russian banks strengthened their position in Belarus through acquisitions of controlling stakes in 4 medium-sized Belarusian banks (VTB, Alfa Bank, VneshEconomBank, RosBank) Mobilkom Austria Group acquired 70% of a mobile service provider «MDC»(Velcom) for EUR 730 million Turk Cell acquired formerly state- owned mobile phone operator BEST for USD 600 million Home Credit Group (Czech Republic) acquired the controlling stake in «Lorobank» Getin Holding S.A. (Poland) acquired 75.04% stake in a Belarusian «Sombelbank» Baltic Beverages Holding (Carlsberg) acquired JSC «Alivariya» (3d largest beer-producer in Belarus) Heineken NV bought Syabar brewery, (2d-largest beer brand in Belarus) Heineken NV invested 6.4 Euro mln. In 51% stake in Rechitsa Brewery Olvi plc (Finland) acquired a majority holding in a Belarusian brewery Lidskoe Pivo for 16 mln.$

    36. Business in BelarusExport – Import of goods in 2008-2009??.

    37. Business in BelarusGross External Debt

    38. Business in Belarus

    39. Exports and Imports split by sector, 2008 export import

    40. Business in BelarusDynamics of reserves in foreign currency (2008 – 2009)

    41. Business in Belarus

    42. Business in BelarusRank of World Bank

    43. Business in Belarus Source: Doing Business, World Bank

    44. Business in Belarus

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