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Camden ME. Kansas City Risk Selectors. Hepatitis C in 2018 Advances in evaluation and treatment March 6, 2018 Bruce W. Henricks, M.D. FACP. Causes of Chronic Liver Disease. Prevalence of Hepatitis C. Worldwide ~ 170 million infected, 71 million have chronic HCV.
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Kansas City Risk Selectors Hepatitis C in 2018 Advances in evaluation and treatment March 6, 2018 Bruce W. Henricks, M.D. FACP
Prevalence of Hepatitis C • Worldwide • ~ 170 million infected, 71 million have chronic HCV
Prevalence of Hepatitis C • Since the identification of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) in 1989 • The number of HCV cases in the U.S. has fallen 80% • About 2.7 to 3.9 million estimated to be infected in the U.S. • ~1.6% of the population are living with HCV • ~76% + for HCV were born between 1945 and 1965
Prevalence of Hepatitis C • HCV in the U.S. • HCV accounts for • 20% of all acute cases of hepatitis • ~ 30,000 new acute HCV infections in 2016 • 8000-10,000 deaths per year • 4.58 deaths per 100,000 • The death rate now exceeds that of HIV at 4.16 per 100,000 • Accounts for 40% of liver transplants- (95% are re-infected) • About 50% infected with HCV are unaware of their diagnosis
Prevalence of Hepatitis C • HCV in the U.S. • About 17% of HCV(+) patients are late diagnoses • Cirrhosis or hepatic decompensation are already present • ~50-60% of the new cases of HCV occur in people with histories of injection drug abuse • HCV rate in those born from 1945 to 1965 • 6 times higher than those born in other years • 2012 CDC guidelines recommend routine screening for individuals born in those 2 decades
A recent Quick Quote • 58 M $5 Million • HCV since his 30’s • Naïve to treatment until June 2017 • Harvoni completed in late September 2017 • U/S based transient elastography suggests F1 • FibroSure supports F2 • S/t his PCR post-Harvoni 12 weeks later being negative in January 2018 • Is he STD?
HCV Characteristics • Hepatitis C • A spherical, enveloped single-stranded RNA virus • Closely related to viruses of • Hepatitis G • Dengue • Yellow fever • HCV can produce 10 trillion new viral particles each day • Worsened by daily alcohol consumption
Transmission of HCV • Those at highest risk • Illicit injection drug users (IDUs)- 60% of new HCV • In developed countries • 1/3 of young IDUs (aged 18-30) are HCV infected • Older or former IDUs have a prevalence of 70%-90% infected • Other exposures of lower HCV risk • Needle-stick injuries- about 3 % • Maternal-fetal transmission- less than 5 % • In 10% no risk factor can be identified
Transmission of HCV • Other exposures of lower risk, cont. • Via tattooing, sharing razors, acupuncture • Transfusion-associated HCV • Blood pool screened since 1990 • Using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) • < 1 per 2 million units transfused • Window after infection, to detection • Can be 1 to 2 weeks with PCR Immune response to HCV
HCV Genotypes • HCV has • 6 genotypes, with numerous subtypes • Genotype 1 the major form worldwide, 40-80% of all HCV • Genotype 1a and 1b occurs in3/4s of U.S. HCV cases • Genotypes 2a, 2b, 2c occur in (10-15%) of U.S. cases • Genotypes 3a and 3b in (4-6% of cases) • Most prevalent in India, Pakistan, SE Asia, and Scotland • Genotypes 4, 5, and 6 < 5% of U.S. cases
Factors influencing HCV incidence • In U.S. • HCV more common in minority populations • No gender preponderance • 65% of persons with HCV are 30-49 years • Being infected while younger has a somewhat better prognosis • Infection uncommon in those 20 and younger • Unless IV Drug abuse
HCV Prognostic factors • Chronic HCV • Likelihood of progression influenced by • The natural h/o HCV in that individual + their environment • Alcohol use • Male sex • Ages 40 to 55 years at time of initial infection • Cumulative impact of hepatic toxins (alcohol, meds, environmental exposure, etc) on the liver over time • BMIs > 30 • Concomitant hepatitis, or conditions with iron excess • Immunosuppression, or HIV co-infection
HCV evaluation-Liver biopsy • Sampling size small- 1-2 mm x 7 to 15 mm • Risk of sampling errors from so small a biopsy • Discrepancies in interpretation by pathologists • Invasive, ..associated with complications / unwelcome by pts
Liver Biopsy • Only reliable way to assess current condition • Still may not be predictive of the future course • The biopsy evaluates the extent of hepatic damage • Two important features (Batt’s –Ludwig scoring) • The severity of inflammation or “Grade” • Expressed on a scale of “0 to 4” • Extent of fibrosis or “Stage” • Expressed on a scale of “0 to 4” • Stage 0 no fibrosis…… to Stage 4 cirrhosis
Liver Biopsy scoring • Score given to the degree of Grade + Stage • The higher the (Knodell) score the more severe the inflammation / fibrosis • Scores of 4 or less = mild inflammation / fibrosis • Regardless of the system used, when the fibrosis is >“mild” the prognosis worsens • May evolve to peri-portal fibrosis with fibrous septa • “Bridging fibrosis” • Respected as a precursor of cirrhosis and likely RNA
Understanding hepatic fibrosis • Hepatic fibrosis • Initially thought to be irreversible….. NO longer • A dynamic process with the potential for significant resolution • The molecular understanding of fibrogenesis and fibrosis regression and how they interact in relation to chronic inflammation has changed • Though it is difficult to predict the net rate or degree of change • Is now recognized as a variable process with the potential for significant resolution
Hepatic Fibrosis • What’s the natural history of fibrosis? • Meta-analysis data from multiple large studies: • The fibrosis remained stable in 46% • The fibrosis improved in 21% • The fibrosis progressed in 33%, …..commonly in NASH • Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis • In about 2/3’s the fibrosis will remain stable or regress
METAVIR Scoring • Stages of fibrosis • F0: normal liver with no fibrosis • F1: portal fibrosis without septa • F2: a few septa present • ( > or = F2considered significant fibrosis) • F3: numerous septa, but w/o cirrhosis • F4: cirrhosis
Evaluating Hepatic Fibrosis- HCV • Limitations of liver biopsy have led to the development of new non-invasive tests • Serve as estimates of the amount of fibrosis present • Non-invasive options have arisen from work on the evaluation of viral hepatitis • Particularly with HCV • Degree of fibrosis impacts therapeutic options and treatment • Both initial and retreatment protocols
Non-invasive Testing for Fibrosis • Two general categories of testing • Serologic blood tests • Are more readily available • Considerable progress made in improving their accuracy • Radiologic tests • Either type of testing does not replace or approximate the value of a good liver biopsy • Clinically they can be used in combination • ( Hepascore + ultrasonography, as examples)
Fibrosis- serologic testing • Available options in the U.S. (cost ~$250/test) • FibroTest/FibroSure • Hepascore • Fibrospect • AST to platelet ratio (APRI) • Calculated from routine laboratory tests • The blood tests above have been the most studied
HCV Case #1 • 49 F • HCV genotype 1a since the early 1990s • Failed Peginterferon + Riba in 2002 • Had a third liver biopsy in 2009 • Stage 1 minimal fibrosis • FibroSure suggests F2 only • November of 2017, has stopped occasional alcohol • Minimal elevation in LFTs • A good candidate for new direct acting anti-virals • Insurance company reviewing coverage
Fibrosis-serologic testing • Limitations • Tests reflect liver matrix (architecture) turnover • Values elevated by surrounding hepatic inflammation • None of the markers are liver-specific • They are only a surrogate, an “estimate of fibrosis” • NOT a specific biomarker • None has emerged as the standard
Fibrosis-serologic estimates • Consensus • They have a good ability to differentiate • Significant fibrosis (F2 to F4) from those without (F0 to F1) • They don’t reliably differentiate between the different fibrotic stages • F1, vs, F2, or F3, etc • Sensitivity in a range of 60-75%, Specificity 80-90% • Tend to be a better tests when F3 or F4 fibrosis present • F4- sensitivity of 87% specificity of 91%
Fibrosis -serologic estimates • Where can they help guide us? • Most useful at both extremes of METAVIR scoring • When there is little or no fibrosis (F0 to F1) • When there is F3 or greater fibrosis present • Reminder- (Fibrosis at F2 or greater cause for concern)
Non-invasive tests of fibrosis • Radiologic • Ultrasound-based transient elastography (UTE) • Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) • Scans the whole liver, but much more expensive • Mechanical excitation principles • Fibrotic tissue differs from healthy liver tissue in the way it responds to excitation by sound waves • Waves propagate/move faster in fibrotic, or “stiffer” hepatic tissue
Non-invasive tests of fibrosis • Radiologic • Ultrasound-based transient elastography (UTE) • Accuracy • =/>F2 sensitivity of 70%, specificity of 84% • F4 sensitivity of 87%, specificity of 91% • Serologic tests • Compare favorably as valid tests • Value of the test goes up as (F score) increases • F4 sensitivity approaches 87%, sensitivity > 90%
Non-invasive estimates of fibrosis • May be used in combination • Expect to see both in future aps reviews, particularly the serologic and in Hep C cases • Dependent upon • Local availability • MD preference, expertise improving over time and usage • Serologic test + Radiologic scan • UTE + Hepascore • Both most readily available
Treatment of HCV, in 2012 0% 18%
HCV review in November 2013 • Expect antivirals to dominate HCV therapy the next 5 years • Sofosbuvir May 2013 • Simeprevir (FDA review 10-13) • Oral therapy with Ribavirin, 80% response rates • A simple oral regimen that becomes a reality will • Significantly reduce HCV morbidity and mortality
Treatment of Acute Hepatitis C • When identified in first 1-6 months of infection • Pegylated interferon + Ribavirin used previously • In 2013, the treatment of choice • Effective in nearly 90% • Currently treat as chronic HCV and use new direct anti-virals • d/t efficacy and oral route of Tx • Unfortunately, early discovery is quite rare • Since most are asymptomatic or only have vague transient symptoms • Helps explain the true burden of chronic Hepatitis C
Treatment of Chronic HCV • Main goal, get a sustained viral response (SVR) • To achieve a SVR, and …… prevent progression • Defined as an absence of HCV-RNA via PCR at least 3 mo (12 weeks) after the discontinuation of therapy • Was 6 months with INF-based therapies • Some clinicians will repeat a PCR at 24 weeks post-Tx • Once at a SVR or SVR12 • 97 to 100% chance of being HCV RNA negative long term and thus a “cure”
Current therapies in HCV • Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) • Target the nonstructural proteins of HCV • Disrupt viral replication and the infection • Advantages • Highly effective where 94-99% will achieve a SVR • Well tolerated • All-oral regimens • Behavior and diet • During Tx complete avoidance of alcohol recommended • Benefit of 2-3 cups of coffee • Lessens mortality / hospitalizations across a spectrum of liver disease
DAAs: multiple points of viral attack Sofosbuvir Ledipasvir
Current therapies in HCV • Preferred regimens used for 12 weeks • Mavyret • (Glecaprevir + pibrentasvir) 3 pills once daily, $39,600 • May be used for 8 weeks in F0 to F3 • Epclusa • (Sofosbuvir + velpatasvir) 1 pill/day, $74,760 • Harvoni- (< 17 months ago the drug of choice) • (Ledipasvir + sofosbuvir) in a single pill/ day, $94,500 • May be used just (8 weeks) in • Naïve pt. w/o cirrhosis and viral load of < 6 million intl units/ ml
Current therapies in HCV • Preferred8 week regimen- Mavyret • N Eng J Med, 2018 Jan 25 (1350 patients) • Latest FDA approved treatment • HCV patients without cirrhosis in genotypes 1 and 3 • In genotype 1 SVR after 8 weeks in 99.1% SVR after 12 weeks in 99.7% • In genotype 3 SVR after 8 weeks in 95% SVR after 12 weeks in 97% Discontinuation rate d/t drug was < 1% in all groups
Current therapies in HCV • HCV genotypes 1 and 2 account for 90% of the U.S. cases • Mavyret • Epclusa • Harvoni • All can be used across • METAVIR scores F0 to F4 • Treatment history: naïve or those retreated • Genotypes 1, 2, or 3
Current therapies in HCV • Other first-line regimens used for 12 weeks • Zepatier • Elbasvir + grazoprevir 1 pill/ day $54,600 • Viekira Pak-(4 drug combination) • Ombitasvir + paritaprevier + ritonavir + dasabuvir (with or w/o ribavirin) 2 pills/day $83, 319 • Numerous DAA regimen algorithms • Are available across F scores, genotypes, etc.
Current therapies in HCV • Priority patients for DAA therapy • Those with • Advanced fibrosis, ( F2 or >) • Liver transplant recipients • Re-infection rate with HCV approaches 95% • Severe extra-hepatic manifestations of HCV infection • Renal • Hematological • Diabetics with HCV
Underwriting Hepatitis C • Recognize that the stages of fibrosis have the potential to improve or resolve • Particularly with a SVR post-treatment • Accept the fact; we will won’t see as many liver biopsies as we used to, or want • Non-invasive substitutes will very likely increase • Serologic and radiologic tests • FibroSure, FibroSpect, Hepascore …….etc • U/S-based transient elastography (UTE) • Value of knowing < F2 vs > F2
Underwriting Hepatitis C • Hep C cases with DAAs are here now • Mavyret and Epclusa will be popular • Due to their efficacy and being once daily • More favorably priced than Harvoni • 94-99% will achieve a SVR • Other DAAs and regimens will continue to evolve • Availability to receive DAAs varies and should improve