Initial Claims vs. Google Trends. According to the NBER, the current recession started ... Monthly Sales vs. Google Trends at Second Week of each month ...
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1Also a good predictor of personal finance distress
Personal finance distress shows high correlation with initial claims.
1Search Behaviour Also Changes During A Recession
Welfare & Unemployment
Recruiting & Staffing
1Initial Claims vs. Google Trends
[Welfare and Unemployment] increased at same time.
Window For Long Term Model
Window For Short Term Model
Source: Internal data
Auto Sales by Make (Top 9 Make by Sales) Monthly Sales vs. Google Trends at Second Week of each month
2Actual vs. Fitted Sales (Top 9 Make by Sales)