Techno-Fantasy Where are we going? Peak Energy? Green-Tech Stability • Energy use • Resource use • Environmental degradation • Pollution Industrial Ascent Creative Descent (Permaculture) Earth stewardship Post Mad Max Collapse Pre-industrial culture Historical Time Industrial Revolution Great Grand Children Future Time BabyBoom Agriculture 10.000yrsBP
Energy Descent Action Plan Life with less energy is inevitable and it is better to plan for it than to be taken by surprise We have lost the resilience to be able to cope with energy shocks We have to act for ourselves and we have to act now By unleashing the collective genius of the community we can design ways of living that are more enriching, satisfying and connected than the present
Involving the whole community • Use the science – climate change and peak oil are real • Doomsday – what happens to our society if we do nothing? • Looking back – how did we cope in the past? • Imagine our future – what does it look like? • How do we get there?
How do we organise it? • Transition Belper lead • Invite community to get involved – who? • Launch process with high profile speaker – who? • Advertise events and process – where? • Subject headings – what areas of life will be affected? • Gathering evidence and data – what do we need?
Why does it matter? • Determines the range of community groups we can get involved • Can we feed ourselves? Belper town only = no, wider area = possibly • Transport – we in Belper can’t isolate ourselves from the surrounding areas that may depend on our transport hub • Energy – can we generate renewable energy in rural areas that we can’t in Belper itself? And visa-versa? • What data are we looking at and how do we define which bit of the map may be relevant?
Other examples Totnes: • Where we start from - peak oil, climate change, economic crisis, resilience, localisation, key information • Totnes stories: • the past: food, work, energy, health, leisure • Doing nothing • Designing our future • Getting to 2030 • An energy budget for Totnes • Can Totnes feed itself? • The built environment, economy, work, money, education, skills, art, culture, leisure, health, well-being, transport, environment, bio-diversity, water, waste, recycling, communities, tourism
Other examples Totnes: • Reviewing the Totnes EDAP in i4 magazine , Michelle Colussi wrote: “In short, as impressive a document as ‘Transition in Action’ is, it falls short of being an Energy Descent Action Plan. Instead, it seems to be more of a vision – a remarkably explicit, exciting and community-based vision that tells us exactly what is to come about, but not how or by whom. Ultimately, the document acts like more of an Energy Descent Invitation than a Plan. It entices other communities to have a go at the process for themselves. Given the time and resources that an EDAP will require, will this invitation be compelling enough?”
Other examples • Kinsale: a student project based on the question ’What would it look like if . . .?’ Although much celebrated, it was based on very little community consultation and was largely a student initiative. • Transition Sunshine Coast (in Australia) was also coordinated by students, on a ‘Time for an Oil Change’ course. The final plan, though, had a far wider political effect. It led to Transition being featured in the council’s climate change and peak oil strategy and in its draft Energy Transition Plan, and to the council’s vision being “to build a low-carbon, low-oil, resilient future for the Sunshine Coast”.
Other examples • Transition Forest Row produced ‘Forest Row in Transition: a community work in progress,’ a short ‘pre-EDAP’, which offered a brief and playful vision of a powered-down future Forest Row. Their budget didn’t allow in-depth research, and they didn’t feel they had enough members of the community on board, so they decided to write a lightweight narrative, combining graphic design, humour and some information.
Some questions… • Do we agree that DE56 is an appropriate area for our study? • What organisations and institutions operating in the area should we seek to engage in the process? • What specific areas of life do we wish to include in our study? • How many years ahead do we wish to place our vision? • We need organisers, writers, photographers, artists, poets, musicians, statisticians, surveyors, researchers, administrators, publicists, teachers, designers, engineers, film makers, web designers and visionaries - can you help out?