Explaining elections
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Explaining Elections Lawrence R. Jacobs Director, Center for the Study of Politics & Governance Humphrey Institute, University of Minnesota Presidential Election Stacking the Deck

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Explaining elections l.jpg

Explaining Elections

Lawrence R. Jacobs

Director, Center for the Study of Politics & Governance

Humphrey Institute, University of Minnesota



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Stacking the Deck

Source: Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, 2000-2007 yearly averages; 2008 data from September 29, 2008

Party identification: Growing Dem Advantage


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Source : MPR News/Humphrey Institute Survey, October 21-26, 2004, October 23-28, 2006, and October 24-28, 2008


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Economic 9/11

Source : MPR News/Humphrey Institute Survey, October 24-28, 2008


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Obama benefits from debate on economy rather than terrorism

Source : MPR News/Humphrey Institute Survey, October 24-28, 2008


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Bush Drag

Source : MPR News/Humphrey Institute Survey, October 24-28, 2008


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Wrong track

Source : MPR News/Humphrey Institute Survey, October 24-28, 2008


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Obama's Enthusiasm Gap

Source : MPR News/Humphrey Institute Survey, October 24-28, 2008


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U.S. Senate Seats to Watch for Dems to Break Filibuster (60)

Note: Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia are open seats, all previously held by Republicans.

*December runoff if no candidate reaches 50%







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