Random Thoughts on Uncertainty for Ecological Modeling By Jay M. Ver Hoef National Marine Mammal Lab 7600 Sand Point Way, NE Seattle, WA 98115 [email protected] Model Averaging Change of Support Model Selection Which one would AIC choose? How Do We Use Probability?
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Jay M. Ver Hoef
National Marine Mammal Lab
7600 Sand Point Way, NE
Seattle, WA 98115
Which one would AIC choose?
“All models are wrong. We make tentative assumptions about the real world which we know are false but which we believe may be useful.”- George Box 1976